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“Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that.” – Martin Luther King, Jr.

 

You Are Who You Are: Be Thankful for That! 

It’s damn hard to be thankful.

We know we should. Every shrink, spiritual leader, and self-help guru on the planet espouses the many benefits of being thankful. But it’s hard to do.

That’s because “doing” thankfulness means feeling it – actually feeling grateful in the muscles of the heart.

I have a sort of prayer that I recite every morning: I’m grateful for my health. I’m grateful for my family. I’m grateful for my work, etc. I recite this dutifully and with concentration. But its effect on me has been only a bit stronger than practicing positive affirmations – which is to say, not great.

I do feel grateful now and then. But the feeling doesn’t come when I call for it. Like happiness, gratitude arrives spontaneously, dressed in workaday clothes, ushered in by mundane and trivial matters. Like finding my boarding pass a minute before they close the doors. Or recognizing a familiar landmark when I’m driving, lost on a dark road.

The important things that I should be grateful for – life, liberty, and my right to happiness, for example – I appreciate most in their absence.

I don’t think I’m alone in this. If you’ve been striving to experience more gratitude in your life, you might have noticed the same thing.

Consider this…

 

A Possible Solution

The feeling of gratitude is indisputably a positive emotion. It feels like breathing. Like opening up and becoming lighter.

But there are other emotions that feel very different – sort of like the opposite of gratitude.

They make you feel like you’re being squashed. Like you’re suffocating or drowning. They make your heart race and weaken your muscles. They feel like pressure, like tightness, like you can’t breathe.

Do you know what I mean?

These opposite-of-gratitude feelings – there are lots of them! Feeling ignored, unappreciated, or disrespected. Or insulted, excluded, or misunderstood. Or robbed or cheated or taken advantage of. Or mentally or physically abused. Or just generally feeling victimized – whether by individuals, society, or even the universe.

So, here’s my thesis: Maybe the secret to feeling more gratitude is to make more room for it by clearing out these other feelings.

Maybe, rather than making lists of all the things we should be grateful for, we should make a list of all the opposite-of-gratitude feelings we have, consciously or subconsciously, and focus our attention on getting rid of them first.

I’m talking about clearing out the dark shadows in our hearts and brains. Letting the sunshine in.

To be honest, this is not a brand-new thought for me. I’ve been thinking about it – and even working on it – for more than 50 years.

One of the first negative emotions I tried to banish was jealousy. By the time I was 16, I had figured out that it was, indeed, a green-eyed monster. I understood the stupidity of it, and vowed to excise its gangrenous hold on my heart. But I was an adolescent, and the biology of adolescence is selfish and self-centered. So, I was not entirely successful. (I still succumb to jealousy’s poison today. But rarely.)

I was much more successful in my early attempts to banish most forms of envy. Although I had much to be envious about as a child, it never had a strong hold on me. In fact, if I ever felt envious of anything or anyone, I don’t remember it. I was surrounded by people then – and still am – who were (and are) richer, smarter, funnier, and better looking. But I didn’t/don’t envy them. I don’t know why envy was so easy to exorcise while jealousy wasn’t, but I do know that not being envious has allowed me to feel good about those that have more than I do. By clearing out envy, I’ve been able to let a sort of happiness in.

There is, however, a kind of envy that I have not entirely banished. And that’s the feeling of resentment I had in high school for my classmates that had a higher social status. I thought I had rid myself of feeling socially discounted and underprivileged. But when I went to my last high school reunion, I realized that I hadn’t entirely forgiven my classmates that had been fortunate enough to grow up on the “right” side of town.

There are many other negative emotions – some that set in later in life – that, until recently, I allowed myself to feel, even though they were self-destructive. One of them was about my body image. In my youth, I was always unhappy with my skinniness. Despite lifting weights like a maniac, I was never able to pack on muscle. I started as a linebacker and offensive guard for my high school football team. I was somehow able to do that with sheer aggressiveness at 155 pounds. But when I failed to make the cut for college football, I cursed my body’s inability to grow.

After I turned 40, my body took revenge on me. I ballooned to 230 pounds (still weightlifting) and have struggled to get back down to a respectable 200 pounds ever since. Every time I stepped on the scale and found myself heavier than that (which was almost always), I cursed my genes.

I was also angry at my biology every time I caught a cold. K never got sick. She went years without a sniffle or an ache, but I… I was catching every bug that came along! I was taking supplements. I was eating my damn greens. Why did I get stuck with this crappy immune system?

But the most negative emotions I allowed myself to feel had to do with my self-imposed mental goals and expectations. I would get furiously upset when I’d arrive late to an appointment, and yet I was late to appointments almost without fail! (While I was publishing Early to Rise, my friend AS used to say, “Early to rise, but late for everything else.”)

I would get angry when I failed to accomplish any and every project I committed to. It didn’t matter to me that my failure might have been due to situations beyond my control. Or that the expectation itself was entirely unrealistic. I mentally flagellated myself.

I would constantly chastise myself for the writing I did that was, in looking at it later, not very good. I would do the same whenever I couldn’t keep up with my work, even if I was working (as I often did) 70 to 80 hours a week.

And then there was the self-derision that ensued every time I failed to meet other people’s expectations. Whether it was friends, family, business associates, or even strangers, I allowed myself to take on their expectations of what I should do or be.

I always knew that these negative feelings came from me and my own expectations. I always knew that they were impossible to avoid so long as I took them on. I always knew that they were making me miserable. And yet, I allowed myself to have them.

 

Finally, a change of heart 

One day recently, in my 69th year, this all changed. I am still struggling to figure out how and why – but one day I woke up and thought to myself: “You are forgiven.”

I know how that sounds. Like New Age, narcissistic rubbish.  But that is what it was – a single thought. “You are forgiven.”

I will try to figure it out in a future essay. But for today, I will simply tell you what did and didn’t happen. What didn’t happen was a transformation in my behavior. I continued to set goals for myself that I couldn’t achieve. I continued to try to live up to other people’s expectations. But when I failed, I no longer beat myself up about it. The impulse wasn’t there. And so far, it hasn’t returned.

How to explain?

I feel like Popeye! I yam what I yam, and that’s all that I yam!

The shadows are gone. All that space in my heart that they were occupying is open now to better feelings. When I fail now – and I’m not making this up – I feel a little smile on my face. And for that, I am very, very thankful.

 

 

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There are several such videos available, but I think this one presents the most believable story.

I thought I knew the story of the Pilgrims and the first Thanksgiving.

The First Thanksgiving, 1621, by Jean Leon Gerome Ferris

But this video is eye opening on several points. It’s only 11 minutes. Watch it with your family.

See you tomorrow…

 

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This is a chapel that BB, one of my partners at Rancho Santana, built for the Rancho Santana community. He designed it himself. The style, as you can see, is very simple and mostly traditional. It’s quite beautiful, and sits on top of one of the higher hills on this side of the property, so you can see it from many vantage points.

 

Nicaragua is very Catholic. And there was some discussion of whether this should be a Catholic church, too. But my partner is not Catholic. I think he considers himself an Episcopalian, which, as I understand it, is one of the more ecumenical of the Christian religions. The decision was to make it non-denominational. But as MN, another partner who is Jewish, pointed out, if it’s got a cross on top, it’s not really non-denominational.

 

BB has been planning on building it almost since we first bought this land, 23 years ago. It was commissioned about three years ago and is barely a year old. But it’s already served the community well and frequently – for religious ceremonies, for weddings and baptisms, and for funerals. And just last week, it served as a refuge for more than a dozen families whose homes were flooded after the hurricane.

 

 

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My post today is about developing your gut instinct to help you become a more effective business leader. I’m sending it from our home in Nicaragua. As you may have heard, the country was battered by Iota. The east coast was destroyed by 150-mile-per-hour winds. The west coast, where we are, was devastated by flooding. Our family is usually here for the Thanksgiving week. Not this year because of you-know-what-19. So, it’s just me and K. And we’re busy working with FunLimon, our family “caridad” here, assisting in the many relief efforts going on right now to bring clean water, food, and other supplies to the local communities. It was a long day. Now we’re back home, having a sunset cocktail.

 

 

 

“Ideas pull the trigger, but instinct loads the gun.”  – Don Marquis

Head vs. Gut, Part I:

Why Intuition Beats Rationality in Making Good Wealth-Building Decisions 

 

I once read an article in the Harvard Business Review titled “When to Trust Your Gut.”

 

This is a subject I’ve spent some time thinking about. And my feeling has always been that experience-based gut instincts are at least as valuable as MBA-based analyses from the likes of Harvard, Wharton, or Yale.

 

I was surprised to see that this article supported my view.

 

The author, Alden M. Hayashi (senior editor of HBR when the article was published), says quite correctly that, in making good business and career decisions, it makes sense to rely on both reasoning and gut feelings.

 

“The higher up the corporate ladder people climb,” Hayashi says, “the more they’ll need well-honed business instincts.”

 

In lowlier positions, he argues, one should rely more on facts, figures, and established protocols. Instinct is still important, but when you’re new to a company you need to be careful. Those that hired you are alert for mistakes. To avoid costly mistakes, he advises, make sure your impulses align with the facts.

 

Middle managers that are new to an industry should be careful about shooting from the hip. By sharpening your pencils and following the rules,” he says, you’ll keep the bottom line black.

 

After you move up the ladder of corporate power, however, attention to detail becomes less important and gut instinct can help you make the game-changing decisions that will accelerate your career.

 

Hayashi looks to the late Ralph S. Larsen, former chairman and CEO of Johnson & Johnson, to explain why.

 

“Very often, people will do a brilliant job up through the middle-management levels, where it’s very heavily quantitative in terms of the decision-making,” Larsen says. “But then they reach senior management, where the problems get more complex and ambiguous, and we discover that their judgment or intuition is not what it should be. And when that happens, it’s a problem. It’s a big problem.”

 

Richard Abdoo, former chairman and CEO of Wisconsin Energy Corporation, agrees. He says that as business speeds up and decisions must happen faster, instinct is even more important.

 

Henry Mintzberg, professor of management at McGill University and longtime proponent of the utility of intuition, believes the subconscious mind is always processing things the conscious mind may not be aware of. A sense of revelation (the “Aha!” moment) occurs when the conscious mind finally learns something that the subconscious mind has already known.

 

I agree.

 

Decision-making at the higher levels of business cannot rely solely on rational thinking and logic. To make the best decisions, we must also call into play our emotional intelligence.

 

To explain how gut feelings work, Hayashi refers to Herbert A. Simon, a professor of psychology and computer science at Carnegie Mellon University.

 

Simon, who studied decision-making for decades, claims that gut feelings result from observing repeated patterns and rules. Emotional intelligence involves noticing, storing, and “chunking” such patterns so we can retrieve them instantly and automatically.

 

It’s been my experience running and consulting with dozens of growing companies over the years, that this is true.

 

It makes sense: The human mind has an amazing capacity to recognize and “remember” patterns. Much greater than our ability to remember and recall facts.

 

In chess, for example, Simon found that grandmasters are able to recognize and recall about 50,000 major patterns in the huge number of ways in which the various pieces can be arranged on a board.

 

How do they do it? How is it that some executives seem to have the superhuman ability to make good and profitable decisions?

 

It’s all about this mysterious process of recognizing and storing patterns. According to Hayashi, the experts say they do this while also “cross-indexing” them. That’s when our brains find patterns in one experience that correspond to patterns in other experiences and “tag” them for instant and automatic recall when we need them.

 

I – and just about every advertising writer I know – do this routinely. While watching commercials about a Rolex, we may notice a pattern in the pitch that is similar to a newspaper ad on vitamins and/or a radio spot on some financial scheme.

 

We sometimes recognize the patterns consciously. Very often, we don’t. But they are recorded somewhere in our gut.

 

And that’s why, if you want to become a better business leader and wealth builder, you should make your decisions carefully when you are beginning, but, as the years pass, begin to rely more on your gut.

 

Caveat: Sometimes gut instincts are wrong. How can you fix that? We’ll cover that tomorrow.

 

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Fargo (1996)

Written and directed by Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Starring William H. Macy, Steve Buscemi, Harve Presnell, and Frances McDormand

 

On an impulse last week, I watched Fargo again – the 1996 movie, not the TV series. It was as good as I remembered.

Since then, I’ve been trying to figure out why I felt it was so good. Was it the plot? The acting? The direction? The photography?

 

All of that was great, but it was held together by the characterization.

 

The protagonist, the person that solves the crime, is played by the always superb Frances McDormand. Her character, Marge Gunderson, is a hugely pregnant local cop called to investigate three roadside murders in the snow. She’s a very ordinary woman, whose only superhero ability is an average intelligence (which sets her apart from her male colleagues) and a sort of “Gee-honey” personality that makes you wonder how she ever became a police officer. At night, safe at home with her balding, chubby husband Norm, she prefers to talk about her husband’s excruciatingly mundane hobby of painting Mallards than her own dangerous and challenging job.

 

The antagonist, Jerry, is an ingenuous car salesman and family man that desperately hopes to solve his financial problems by having his wife kidnapped and ransomed. Unintentionally, he is the true the precipitator of all the mayhem that follows. He is played brilliantly by William H Macy.

 

The kidnappers – two intensely comical criminal morons played by Steve Buscemi and Peter Stomare – provide both the comedy and the grizzle that make this film so unique.

 

And last but not least, there are two things that make everything else deliciously surreal: the “Minnesota nice” accent” enunciated wonderfully by McDormand and Macy, and Fargo itself – a snow-covered, small-town wilderness that provides the perfectly ironic background for this gruesome and increasingly horrifying game of dominoes. (I had forgotten, but the movie was written and directed by the Coen brothers, who gave us the equally great, genre-defying comical caper Raising Arizona.)

 

Interesting Fact: Not surprisingly, Fargo won numerous prestigious awards and was named by the American Film Institute as one of the 100 best American films in history. What is surprising is that it cost only $9 million to make. That’s actually hard to believe. It grossed over $60 million at the box office and has probably generated another $40 million in residuals and rights. Not bad.

 

From Entertainment Weekly: “An illuminating amalgam of emotion and thought.”

 

From Rotten Tomatoes: “Violent, quirky, and darkly funny, Fargo delivers an original crime story and a wonderful performance by McDormand.”

 

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3 Facts, 3 Words, 3 Thoughts 

 

THE FACTS 

* The Invention of the TV Dinner 

Like so many other life-improving inventions, the frozen TV dinner began as a mistake. 1n 1953, an employee of Swanson & Sons mistakenly ordered 260 tons of fresh turkey for the Thanksgiving holidays. This was way, way more than was needed. To get rid of the excess, salesman Gerry Thomas came up with a plan: They cooked the birds; ordered 5000 aluminum trays; filled them with turkey, mashed potatoes, and peas; and froze the whole thing. It saved the day. The following year Swanson sold 10 million frozen TV turkey trays at 98 cents each – a windfall of $9.8 million (over $94 million today)!

* The Best Kind of Investor 

In 2014, the Fidelity Mutual Funds group looked at records of its investors by age, sex, and account size to determine which ones had made the most money. They found that the only thing the best performers had in common was that they were all dead – and many of them had been dead for decades – though their accounts had not yet been closed. In other words, the best investment strategy seemed to be: Do nothing.

* The First Telephone Book 

In 1878, two years after Bell introduced the telephone to the public, the New Haven Telephone Company published a directory of its subscribers – a cardboard sheet with the names of 50 people and businesses that owned phones. It had no phone numbers, because people resisted the idea of dialing the numbers themselves. They much preferred talking to the company’s switchboard operator and having them connect the call. A copy of this directory sold in 2008 for $170,500.

 

THE WORDS 

* mien (noun) 

Mien (MEEN) is a person’s look or manner, especially one that indicates their character or mood.

Example: “Falsehood always endeavors to copy the mien and attitude of truth.” – Samuel Johnson

* bonhomie (noun) 

Bonhomie (bahn-uh-ME) – from the French for good (bon) + man (homme) – is geniality; cheerful friendliness.

Example: “John Stuart Mill, / By a mighty effort of will, / Overcame his natural bonhomie / And wrote ‘Principles of Political Economy.’” – Edmund Clerihew Bentley

* kawaii (noun or adjective) 

Kawaii (kuh-WHY or kuh-why-EE) – which roughly translates as lovable or adorable – is the Japanese pop culture of celebrating cuteness. As an adjective, the word can be associated with just about anything that is endearing, shy, and childlike. (Think “Hello Kitty” – perhaps the most famous kawaii character.)

Example (from Avril Lavigne’s song “Hello Kitty”):

Min’na saiko arigato, k-k-k-kawaii! (Thank you everyone, cute!)
K-k-k-kawaii.
Mom’s not home tonight
So we can roll around, have a pillow fight…

 

 THE THOUGHTS

(from Michael Masterson)  

* “You can’t be knowledgeable about everything. Choose what you want to know and what you are willing to be ignorant about. I choose to be ignorant about sports, because it seems trivial. And music, because I don’t think knowledge enhances my experience of it.”

 

* “In marriage and other important relationships, politeness is at least as important as passion.”

 

* “Having without sharing is having less than half.”

 

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 “Management is about arranging and telling. Leadership is about nurturing and enhancing.” – Tom Peters

 

Cultivating the “Super” in “Superstars”: the Handful of Employees That Will Make Your Business Soar 

Yes, every one of your employees is important. In some way, every one of the people that work for you – from the rank-and-file on up – contributes to your bottom line.

But there is one group – a very small group – that can do what the others can’t do: generate 80% of your sales, wring out 80% of your profits, and then grow those profits over time.

I have gotten into the habit of calling these people superstars, but I should probably call them something else. Maybe something like “phenoms,” because besides being so remarkable in themselves, they are very rare.

Not Pareto Principle rare. Not just one out of five of your employees. It’s more like one out of 10, if you are lucky. Even one out of 20.

You already know who these people are. (They know it, too.)

* They arrive early and stay late. And they work at home.

* They almost never take a day off.

* They don’t consider their work to be a job. They consider it to be a career.

* They are not afraid of new ideas. They welcome them.

* They take responsibility for any problems that crop up under their watch, even if they are not to blame.

But what makes superstars not just valuable but invaluable is that they are not only great at what they do, they are eager to take on as much additional work as you can give them. Whether it is developing successful new products, creating additional sales, or managing profits, superstars will eventually do it better than you can… and take some of your leadership burden on their shoulders.

And that’s why losing a superstar is like losing a limb. It is a disaster you want to avoid at all costs.

So how do you attract and nurture – and keep – superstars? What are the things they want and need?

 

  1. Space 

First and foremost, they need the freedom to do their job as they see fit. You can and should give them the tools they need to do their work. And you should give them your best advice. But give them room to fail, too – quickly and in small ways – so they can learn (and teach their employees) from their mistakes.

 

  1. Autonomy 

In a similar vein, superstars need the authority to get their job done without being micromanaged. They should not have to ask for your okay on every minor decision. Agree on the sort of reporting and feedback that you both feel comfortable with, with the understanding that you will be asking for less and less as they become more and more accomplished.

 

  1. Challenge 

The main thing that superstars need is big and constant challenges – and it is in their nature to come up with most of them on their own. Give them free rein to learn about any areas of the business that interest them – and welcome any suggestions they may have.

 

  1. Fair Compensation 

Superstars are not primarily motivated by money – but you won’t hold onto them if you pay them a nickel less than what they are worth.

How much is that?

I have a few rules that I follow: Their base pay must be equal to or higher than what others in their position get. In addition, they should have some sort of incentive pay based on some mutually agreeable objectives. And if they end up running an entire offshoot of the business for you, they should get some sort of shadow equity.

Just never lose sight of what’s really important to them: the satisfaction of growing and improving the business.

 

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“The most beautiful things are not associated with money; they are memories and moments. If you don’t celebrate those, they can pass you by.” – Alek Wek

 

The Moments I Love 

Midnight at the Swamp House. Starless sky. Rippling breeze on the lake. Just me, my Casa Amigos, and my work.

Ping. It’s from Judith, re an essay I sent in this morning. I make the revision and send it back to her, wondering what she’s doing, working at this hour.

Ping again. It’s from Matt, re a possible acquisition we discussed this afternoon. I answer it, adding, “What are you doing, working at this hour?”

I love that!

Other moments I love:

* Every time one of my boys calls me for advice.

 

* When BB and I say the same thing to our partners in each of our very different ways.

 

* Any time my weight drops below 210 pounds.

 

* Yes, that first cup of coffee in the morning.

 

* Anytime I ask for forgiveness and get it.

 

* My Sunday routine: Instead of 2 hours of exercise, doing the NYT crossword while smoking a Padron Aniversario.

 

* When the conversation turns to anything remotely philosophical, including discussions that start with, “Isn’t it fucked up when…?”

 

* When Amaru says, “I’m on it, boss!”

 

* When I score even a single point on any of my Jiu Jitsu instructors.

 

* Every time Myles smiles a certain way when I’m pushing an idea. I know that means the next day he’ll come back with an improved version of it.

 

* When I see my nieces and nephews together, treating one another like beloved brothers and sisters.

 

* When someone I’m mentoring gets it and I know he’ll forever be operating on a higher level.

 

* Anytime I give someone something – money, time, attention, advice – and it actually helps them, without negative side effects.

 

* Every time I see my friends looking at K and thinking, “I hope Mark realizes how lucky he is.”

 

* Almost every time I learn something new.

 

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A Jolt of Pure Joy! 

Look at this – a film of a snowball fight shot in 1897 in Lyon by the Lumière brothers…

The Lumière brothers are considered to be pioneers in film. This one spans less than a minute, but it’s a tempest of cultural anthropology, giving the viewer an insight into the French that one wouldn’t get from sitting at a Paris cafe.

Here is the text that accompanies the clip, written beautifully by Sam Anderson:

“If you watch the snowball fight over and over, as I will do for the rest of my life, certain characters begin to stand out.

“Down in the bottom-left corner, a thick man with a strong black mustache fires a cheap shot: a wild fastball, from point-blank range, that barely misses its intended target, a slim man who is busy looking the other way. The slim man turns, cocks his left arm, and wallops the big man on his thigh.

“From that point forward, these two are locked in savage, jolly combat. They reload and pelt each other multiple times, until finally – overtaken, perhaps, by the homosocial energy crackling between them – the big man staggers forward and lunges to tackle the slim man like a bear attacking a deer. But once again he misses: The slim man sidesteps and, grinning, shoves the big man into the snow. The big man pops back up, like a mustachioed snow-zombie, and starts pelting the slim man again from behind.”

Anderson’s favorite character, whom he calls the “protagonist,” is the man in in the bowler hat and long coat.

“He  looks as if he has just stepped out of a bank meeting, and yet he abandons himself to this childish street warfare with eager glee.

“While the other fighters stand more or less rooted in place, the man in the bowler covers a surprising amount of ground – he is a free agent, prancing around with lumbering lightness, entering and exiting clusters of people, galloping across the road, following his bliss, attacking willy-nilly with a funky sidearm toss. He seems to take as many shots as he gives, and by the end of the film his black coat is thoroughly dusted with white; you can see the snowballs’ impact blasts as clearly as bullet holes.

“And then there is the bicycle. This is the peak moment of brutality, when the whole group loses its collective goddamn mind. Right from the start, you can see the cyclist coming: a small figure, growing larger every second, gliding smoothly on an angle toward the fray. Before he even reaches the crowd, he starts to take distant fire. And yet he is determined to ride on. When he arrives, all the warring factions turn to unite against him, unleashing a wickedly targeted cyclone. The cyclist takes hard shots to the arm, the face, the back, the neck. Still he pedals forward, hunching his back, spinning his long legs – a stoic hero, intent on gliding through the violence, determined to reach the safety of the other side.

“His legs fly up in the air; his hat lands upside down in the snow. Before he can even get up, the cyclist is pelted again, and someone tries to steal his bike – but the cyclist stands and rips it away, then hops back on, abandoning his hat, retreating, pedaling off the way he came, taking powdery sniper fire as he goes. It is an object lesson in futility, in noble intentions thwarted – one man’s vision destroyed by the sudden madness of a crowd.

“Off in the middle distance, two men stand near a street lamp, watching the mayhem, never moving, like Beckett characters, thinking who knows what.

“On an intellectual level,” Anderson says, “we all understand that historical people were basically just like us…. They lived, as we do, in the throbbing nerve-pocket of the now. They were anxious and unsure, bored and silly. Nothing that would happen in their lifetimes had happened yet. The ocean of time was crashing fresh waves, nonstop, against the rocks of their days. And like us they stood there, gasping in the cold spray, wondering what people of the past were like.”

 

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 “A weak currency is the sign of a weak economy, and a weak economy leads to a weak nation.

– Ross Perot

 

Scary but True: China Paves the Way for a US Digital Dollar

On November 6, I said that I could imagine the US creating a digital currency one day to fend off the threat of Bitcoin (or any other cryptocurrency) replacing the US Dollar.

It would offer all the conveniences of other digital currencies (which is what most concerns the average user), but it wouldn’t have Bitcoin’s most important benefit: the built-in protection against its own devaluation because of its strictly limited supply.

Our politicians don’t know much about economics, but realizing that such a feature would severely limit their ability to spend money, they’d make sure the US Digital Dollar would come with counterfeiting provisions.

The second major benefit of Bitcoin is that it’s a cryptocurrency, which means it allows users to transact their business anonymously. That, too, our government wouldn’t allow, because it would make it near impossible to crack down on income (and other) tax evasion.

The US Digital Dollar would come with some patina of privacy – perhaps limiting access to transactions between users. But the government would make sure it had full and easy access to all such transactions. It would sell this idea by pointing out that it would put an end to illegal drug and sex trafficking. However, it would surely be used by the IRS to eliminate tax cheating. And eventually, it would be the perfect tool for the government to know just about everything every one of its citizens was doing.

I know that sounds like an idea from some dystopian novel. But assume for the moment that you were the dictator of a big, powerful country with more than a billion citizens. How could you resist using a tool like this? How could you say no to being able to know exactly what all those people were doing – every place they went, at every hour of the day?

As with so many things these days, China is several steps ahead of the US in the move towards a government-issued digital currency.

China’s president, Xi Jinping, in announcing the new digital yuan, said that it was going to “accelerate the digital economy, digital socializations, state and industry digital developments, and updates.” And that it would move China “ahead of our competitors.”

According to my colleague Tom Dyson, writing in “Postcards From the Fringe,” China’s “pull together” should be considered an advantage in the digital currency race – an advantage only further solidified by Jinping’s words. The president’s push for advancement in the field certainly will impact China moving forward with the digital yuan, but it had an impact on Bitcoin as well. Following his speech, the Bitcoin/US Dollar parity jumped from $13,300 to $14,000.

In preparation for promoting the use of the digital yuan on an international level, China has tasked smartphone developer Huawei with stateside implementation. Huawei’s new phone, the Mate 40, is expected to have all the latest technology and features as well as its own proprietary digital yuan wallet. This will ensure that China’s new digital currency will find its way to the US. And the timing couldn’t be better. Due to recent supply restrictions, the Mate 40 might be Huawei’s last phone to be sold in the States.

If their new digital yuan succeeds, it would be a massive accomplishment for the Chinese Communist Party. According to a Reuters report, Yi Gang (governor of the People’s Bank of China) claimed that 4 million separate digital currency transactions had taken place since the start of the “human trials” last month.

And it’s not just China. From my friends at Tradesmith:

“The Bank of International Settlements, BIS for short, is known as the central bank for other central banks. In January 2020, the BIS published a new research paper – not its first one – on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).

“Eight months ago, the BIS found that 80% of all the central banks they surveyed were investigating CBDCs, and 40% had moved from the research stage to the concept and design stage.”

China is definitely the front runner in the race. BIS and the European Central Bank (ECB) are trailing. Right now, the US is behind. But if China does succeed, you can bet that the US will be looking to follow.

 

Sources:

https://www.somagnews.com/digital-currency-statement-by-xi-jinping/
http://www.qstheory.cn/dukan/qs/2020-10/31/c_1126680390.htm
https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/04/investing/china-yuan-us-election-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.theregister.com/2020/11/02/huawei_mate_40_digital_yuan/
https://www.reuters.com/article/china-currency-digital/spending-with-chinas-digital-yuan-around-300-million-pboc-says-idUSL1N2HO0B1

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