Why I Haven’t Retired: It’s Hard to Explain…

When I complain about how much work I have to do, K says, “Well then, quit.”

I say, “I can’t quit.”

She says, “Of course you can. You could have retired 40 years ago.”

Then I say, “I don’t want to quit.”

Then she says, “Well then, stop complaining!”

She has a point. But when it comes to these later years of working, I want my cake and I want to eat it. I want to keep working and, when work is hard, I want to complain about it.

How to explain?

I want to keep working because I value the work I’m doing. I think – I know – that it’s useful. To some, I believe it is important. It also gives me a great deal of satisfaction. But it’s difficult. And time consuming. And sometimes downright upsetting.

Work is not play.

Play is fun. And I have playtime. I have my grappling, my crossword puzzles, my computer chess, and my cigar smoking. Two hours of that sort of fun per day fills my play tank. My work tank is bigger. Much bigger. But it’s also, despite the stress and toil, more satisfying.

But K is right. I choose to work. And so, I must also choose to accept all that comes with it and stop bitching.

 

Marketing Mastery Series 

Labels, Lizards, and Limbic Systems:

Understanding the Buyer Brain

They say you shouldn’t judge a book by its cover. And that’s generally good advice. But most people do. Including me. We respond instinctively and emotionally to everything our senses encounter (and particularly to new sensations) because our brains are wired to do so.

There are three forms of natural intelligence and three intelligence systems in the human brain. The reptilian – or lizard – brain, the limbic brain, and the neocortical brain. Only one of them – the neocortical brain – is capable of not judging a book by its cover. The other two handle the other two forms of intelligence: instinct (the lizard brain) and feeling (the limbic brain).

Because Homo sapiens are naturally conceited, we tend to downplay the importance of our natural intelligence systems – instinct and feeling – and overplay the importance of what is unique to us – thinking. We shouldn’t. They are equally important. (One could argue, in fact, that, next to the opposable thumb, the development of the two “lower” levels of intelligence is the reason our species survived the early eons of evolution.)

Our decisions – big and small – are initiated in the limbic brain. Some, like pulling one’s hand from a hot stove, start and end there. Some, like falling in love, begin in the lizard brain, but grow and flourish in the limbic. And some, like the decision to buy a new car, are routed from the lizard brain to the limbic and then to the neocortical, where the decision is actually made.

None take place solely in the emotional or the rational brain. They all start with that first instinctive reaction.

Most people understand this at some unconscious or rudimentary level. And some people that study decision making understand it quite well. In the world of marketing, understanding how decisions are made is essential. Yet most of what I’ve read and heard from so-called marketing experts is flawed in this respect. They view the buying decision as a two-part process.

General (brand) advertisers see it as instinct and then emotion. Direct response advertisers see it as emotion and rationalization.

But if you want to be a master marketer, you have to understand that the buying decision is always a three-part process. And that means the selling strategy should be a three-part process, too.

First, is the lizard reaction, which takes less than a second. Second, is the emotional impulse, which can take place in several minutes to as long as an hour. Third is the rationalization, which has no time limit. It can take minutes. Or hours. Or days. Or months. Even years.

To repeat…

* The lizard reaction: This is the first instinctive signal that flashes through the prospective buyer’s brain when he/she first looks at the advertising.

* The emotional impulse: The limbic brain then moves in (tentatively or eagerly) to form an emotion.

* The rationalization: After the emotion is formed, the rational brain kicks in and does its work.

Important: These three brain functions – the reptilian reaction, the limbic impulse, and the rationalization – always occur in that order.

What does this mean to you, the aspiring marketing master?

  1. Recognize that any marketing/selling strategy that consists of only two parts is incomplete.
  2. If you are in general advertising, your expertise is in understanding instinct and emotion. To become a master in your universe, you must master rationalization. You must figure out how to assure that the-post-instinct, post-emotion desire to buy is not impeded by anything that happens before, during, or after the buying experience.
  3. If you’re in direct marketing, your expertise is in understanding emotion and rationalization. To become a master of your universe, you must master instinct. You must become expert at designing that initial instinct.

Do you see what I’m saying here? This feels like an important insight to me. I’m not sure, though, if I’ve explained it well. Let me know if you grok this. If not, I’ll dig into it again in another issue.

 

News & Views 

COVID Update 1:  Lockdown Scorecard 

If you don’t want to believe it, this probably won’t change your mind. But a major study has just been published that concludes that the COVID lockdown had “little to no effect” on saving lives during the pandemic, but had “enormous economic and social costs where [the restrictions were] adopted.”

You can read the entire 69-page report here.

Or a summary of it here.

 

COVID Update 2: The Pandemic of the Unvaccinated 

When Omicron was classified as a “Variant of Concern” by the WHO in November, just about everyone in the pro-vaccination community, from President Biden to Nancy Pelosi to Rachel Maddow to Howard Stern, began calling COVID a “pandemic of the unvaccinated.”

I thought that was a catchy phrase. But I was sort of appalled by the vitriolic sentiment that went along with it. (Howard Stern, for example, suggested that hospitals should not admit unvaccinated people.)

Since then, we’ve learned that vaccinations were not – and are not – able to provide immunity against or stop the spread of the virus. Latest fact I could find: Of the 77 million people that have been infected by the Omicron strain of COVID-19, only 11% (or 8 million) of them were not vaccinated. In other words, For the other 69 million, vaccinations didn’t stop the spread.

 

Complicated: College Discrimination Suit

The US Supreme Court is going to hear arguments about the role of race in the college admission process.

The Students for Fair Admissions claims that both Harvard, a private school, and the University of North Carolina, a public school, have been illegally restricting admissions for Asian-American applicants. (Harvard’s policies will be tested against the Civil Rights Act; UNC’s against the 14th Amendment.)

This is not news. Asian-American parents and educators have been objecting to these policies for decades. (How the issue finally made its way to the Supreme Court is a story for another day.)

It should be an interesting case. If the suit succeeds, it could put an end to all quota systems, including affirmative action admissions.

What I Believe: I believe that affirmative action – at some level and in some cases – is a natural and useful idea. But I also believe that it is ineluctably discriminatory. When the average GPAs and test scores of one racial community are disproportionately lower than those of another, the only way to admit more of the lower-performing group is to discriminate against the higher-performing group.

The arithmetic here is irrefutable, but there is an out that the Supreme Court can take if it wishes. And that is to say that objective measurements of performance (GPAs, testing, and even extra-curricular activities) are only part of what should be considered in making admission decisions. Subjective criteria (such as personality) are important, too. And this, in fact, is what Harvard and UNC do. Of course, the only way to logically employ this argument is to suggest that Asians have “less attractive” personalities.

 

Good to Know 

About the Vietnam War

The war in Vietnam began in 1955. The US got involved in 1965. I don’t remember knowing anything about it until I entered high school, in 1964. Opposition to the war was a fringe issue then. But by 1968, negotiations to end the war officially began. Protests continued until 1973, when the governments of Vietnam and the United States signed the Paris Peace Accords. The agreement required the immediate withdrawal of all US troops, the return of prisoners of war, and the reunification of Vietnam through peaceful means. By that time, more than 1.3 million soldiers and civilians had been killed. Yet after US forces were removed from the conflict, the warring factions in Vietnam resumed fighting. Two years later, North Vietnam captured Saigon, the capital city of South Vietnam, and began reunification of the country under socialist rule, officially bringing an end to the Vietnam War.

 

Recommended Places                              

The Romance and Magic of Cartagena

Founded in 1533, Cartagena is a port city on Colombia’s Caribbean coast. It’s a short plane ride from Miami. Because of its beauty, history, and location, it’s one of the most visited cities in South America.

What I like about Cartagena: 

* The architecture. Cartagena may be the most beautifully preserved Spanish Colonial city I’ve ever seen.

* The street art – murals, sculpture, and graffiti – in the Getsemani neighborhood.

* At night, the city is saturated with music and dancing – in clubs and outdoors in parks.

* It is an oasis for foodies, from street tapas to fine dining.

* Lots of interesting churches and monasteries throughout the city, including the San Pedro Claver Monastery.

 

Arts & Letters 

From Letters of Note: Ralph Waldo Emerson to his daughter, April 8, 1854

“Finish every day and be done with it. For manners and for wise living it is a vice to remember. You have done what you could; some blunders and absurdities no doubt crept in; forget them as soon as you can. To-morrow is a new day; you shall begin it well and serenely, and with too high a spirit to be cumbered with your old nonsense. This day for all that is good and fair. It is too dear, with its hopes and invitations, to waste a moment on the rotten yesterdays.”

 

Words to the Wise  

* A word I’d like to bring back into common parlance: ken

Rarely used today outside of the phrase “beyond one’s ken,” it means “range of vision or comprehension.” It goes all the way back to Proto-Indo-European, the ancestor of most European, Near Eastern, and South Asian languages. Its many relatives in modern English – all coming from the root “gno-” (“to know”) – include incognitocunning, and know itself.

* A word I should know but don’t: scofflaw 

A scofflaw is a person who habitually violates the law, especially laws that are difficult to enforce. Example: “A scofflaw seeks not to overturn the existing system – it may in fact be to his advantage if everyone else were to conform to it – but to flout it.” (God, Belief, and Perplexity by William E. Mann)

* A word I’m going to try to wedge into the next conversation I have about space: spaghettification

Spaghettification – also known as the “noodle effect” –  is the theoretical vertical stretching of an object as it encounters extreme differences in gravitational forces, especially those associated with a black hole.

 

Readers Write

Re Ready, Fire, Aim:

Ready, Fire, Aim is vintage Michael Masterson. Every sentence in the book is stuff you can use right now, today, to accelerate your climb to the top of the financial ladder. What sets Masterson apart from most of the gurus who write about how to do it is that he’s actually done it – over… and over… and over again. The number of successful businesses he’s built is no less than astonishing. Every serious entrepreneur needs to avail himself of the information in this book.” – RR

Re my prediction in the Feb. 3 issue  that the digital dollar will eventually take over, at which point the government (and big tech) would have full financial control of US citizens:

“I wouldn’t have thought of this as an outcome/goal of the gov/big tech back in 2019, but after living through the past 2 years, I have no doubt you are spot on.” – DA

What I Believe: About Identity Theory

A Problem No One Seems to Have Noticed

Modern Identity Theory allows for the idea that gender identity is a “social construct,” and, as a social construct, it can be changed. A man that “identifies” as a woman has the right to be identified as a woman – by colleagues, friends, and even family.

In another essay, I will consider gender specifically. Today, I want to examine this idea of the social construct more generally. Can we change our identities? And, if so, under what circumstances?

You make a living as a machinist. You spend your evenings at a local bar, telling people you meet that you are a writer. You say you are a writer because you really want to be a writer. And you believe, deep down, that you are.

But the fact is – and this is something your parents, your friends, and even the bartender know – you are not a writer. You are a machinist that wants to believe he’s a writer. And believes that if he can get other people to see him as a writer, he’ll be one.

Reductio ad absurdum: You wake up early one morning feeling like a rooster. You get out of bed, strut rooster-like around the room, stick your head out the window and crow. You feel 100% rooster. Alas, you are not a rooster. You are a Homo sapiens with a mental illness.

I always wished that I were several inches taller. If I could become six foot two by feeling like I was six foot two, I’d do that. The objective and verifiable fact of the matter, however, is that I am five foot ten, and have been five foot ten my entire adult life. My mental health and the mental health of those around me will be much better if I don’t insist that I am six foot two.

You know where I’m going with this. And I’ll get to the gender debate next time. Today, I want to make an obvious point that I’ve not heard made.

It is this: Identities are not – and cannot possibly be – internally determined. They are not, therefore, and cannot be, subjective. That’s because the very concept of identification is external. Identification is about defining and classifying things that are outside of oneself. And there is a good and reputable scientific field of study that does that. It is called taxonomy. It works by describing and classifying the objectively categorical features of things.

In other words, identity, by definition, is that which can be described and categorized by objective measurements. Take away the objective perspective and the meaning of the word is gone.

Feeling like you are something doesn’t make you that something, because feeling is subjective and taxonomy is objective. If you want to be something other than what you are, you have to acquire the taxonomic characteristics of the thing you want to be.

This is not to deny the fluidity of human emotions. Or our inalienable right to have the emotions we want to have.

A machinist is not wrong to feel like he is meant to be a writer. And if he wants to spend his spare time deceiving himself about his actual identity, that’s his right. But he should not expect that others (people outside his internal reality) will consider him to be or treat him as a writer.

If you want to identify as a writer, all you need to do is spend most of your work time writing. If you want to identify as a rooster, see a therapist.

 

worth reading

Nightmare in Pink 

By John D. MacDonald

143 pages

First published in 1964 by Fawcett

What could be better when a flu or virus is keeping you in bed for the weekend than two days with Travis McGee?

Nightmare in Pink is only the second novel I’ve read by John D. MacDonald. It confirmed the positive feeling I had from my first encounter with this very gifted novelist. I intend to read more of this series.

 

The Plot 

As a favor to Mike Gibson, an old war buddy, Travis agrees to help Mike’s sister, Nina, recover some money she’s owed. This leads him into a sinister conspiracy of theft, kidnapping, and mind-altering drugging.

 

What I Liked About It 

* MacDonald is a very good writer. In terms of diction, dialog, and style, he’s right up there with other masters of the hard-boiled fiction genre, such as Dashiell Hammett and Raymond Chandler.

* Travis McGee isn’t your typical detective hero. Unlike Chandler’s Philip Marlowe, for example, he’s vain and opportunistic and clumsy – in a way that is commonplace now, but was unusual in the sixties and seventies when he was writing.

* McGee’s perspective on the world is scrumptiously bleak and sarcastic. Example:

“New York is where it is going to begin, I think. You can see it coming. The insect experts have learned how it works with locusts. Until the locust population reaches a certain density they all act like any grasshoppers. When the critical point is reached, they turn savage and swarm, and try to eat the world. We’re nearing the critical point. One day soon two strangers will bump into each other at high noon in the middle of New York. But this time they won’t snarl and go on. They will stop and stare and then leap at each other’s throats in a dreadful silence. The infection will spread outward from that point.”

 

John Dann MacDonald (July 24, 1916 – December 28, 1986)

MacDonald was a prolific author of crime and suspense novels, many set in his adopted home of Florida. One of the most successful American novelists of his time, he sold an estimated 70 million books.

Several of his books were made into movies. The best known are The Executioners (1957) and Cape Fear ((1962 and 1991).

 

Critical Reception 

* In 1972, the Mystery Writers of America bestowed upon MacDonald its highest honor, the Grand Master Award for lifetime achievement and consistent quality.

* Stephen King praised MacDonald as “the great entertainer of our age, and a mesmerizing storyteller.”

* Kingsley Amis said MacDonald “is by any standards a better writer than Saul Bellow, only MacDonald writes thrillers and Bellow is a human-heart chap, so guess who wears the top-grade laurels.”

 

worth watching

Clive Davis: The Soundtrack of Our Lives 

Released in 2017

Directed by Chris Perkel

Available on various streaming services

Clive Davis: The Soundtrack of Our Lives is a documentary about the career of American record executive Clive Davis. It was based in his autobiography, The Soundtrack of My Life, published in 2013.

I came across the film when I was looking for another one, something recommended by a friend. On an impulse, I clicked on it to see who this Clive Davis was. It turns out he’s a well-known music industry executive that has been producing major talent for more than 50 years.

 

What I Liked About It 

* His story.

* The story of his era in music.

* The many artists depicted.

The number of great artists Davis discovered/put on the map is amazing. An abbreviated list:

 Janis Joplin

Paul Simon

Patti Smith

Kenny G

Bruce Springsteen

Carlos Santana

Whitney Huston

Aretha Franklin

The Grateful Dead

Toni Braxton

Billy Joel

The Notorious BIG

Usher

Alicia Keys

 

What I Didn’t Like So Much 

The movie is hardly an in-depth or critical view of the man himself. It is a tribute, bordering on a puff piece. I would have liked to have been shown more about the slings and arrows of his fortune.

 

Critical Reception 

* “An eye-opening, not to mention ear-opening, experience.” (Michael Rechtshaffen, LA Times)

* “We get the saga of a tender musical fairy godfather [but] you won’t learn much about Davis’s personal story.” (Variety)

* “It’s an extraordinary two-hour tale of a man with great ears and a passion to match.” (The Arts Desk)

* A “prolonged tribute reel with ample material to fuel a dozen lifetime achievement award ceremonies” and the film’s “hagiographic tone only worsens once Davis himself takes centerstage as the chief interview subject.” (IndieWire)

You can watch the trailer here.

Bits and Pieces 

Thoughts on Re-reading Ready, Fire, Aim: 

The Inevitable Bloating of Corporate Payroll

If your business grows long or large enough, you are going to encounter payroll bloat – some number of employees at all levels of the biz that contribute little or nothing to the bottom line.

During the early stages of your company’s growth, you won’t have any trouble noticing this corporate rot and getting rid of it. That’s because (1) as the initial CEO of a relatively small company you will be close enough to see it. And (2) as the founder and principal shareholder, you will not tolerate waste.

But when the business gets larger – with tens of millions of dollars in revenues and several hundred employees – you will be far removed from the front lines. And those well-paid, low-to-no-contribution workers will start to disappear from your sight. You won’t notice them physically, because they’ll be floors or buildings or even cities away. And you won’t notice them on the P&Ls, because their costs will be several levels subordinated to the lines you are looking at.

I’ve seen this happen more than once. Because my interest in business is growth, when revenues and profits are rising, I’m not looking for leaks. But whenever I have looked, there’s always been some level of payroll waste.

I’m talking about redundant jobs. Full-time employees being paid to do part-time work. Highly paid execs doing little more than intermediating information.

What was scary about many of these investigations was that nobody was saying a damn thing about them. Not the department heads or management teams. Not the accounting department. And, of course, not a word from the employees that were underchallenged.

I don’t think these people were “covering up.” I think they simply weren’t aware of what had happened. The erosion of personnel productivity took place over years, little by little. Big-business regulations kicked in at a certain level, requiring the firing of red-tape processers. And certain functions, once necessary, became vestigial.

Carl Icahn, one of Wall Street’s most successful investors, ran into that problem several times in his career of building several huge businesses. I remember reading in one of his books or perhaps a magazine article that he made it a practice to fire 10% of his employees each year.

That could be apocryphal. I hope it isn’t, because I always thought it highlighted this problem – that with every additional layer of growth there will likely be an extra layer of low-output employees that must be repurposed or dismissed.

 Click here to listen to Icahn tell a funny story about one of the times that he dealt with this problem.

News & Views: Law & Disorder Update

In my effort to keep you abreast of the rise in violent crime in America’s largest cities, here are three quick updates:

* Car thefts rampant in Portland. Click here.

* Chicago 2021: highest number of homicides in 25 years. Click here.

* Rookie cop gets shot on way to work in New York. Click here.

 

Interesting: About US Military History

How Many Times Has the US Declared War?

The United States has officially declared war 11 times during five separate military conflicts. The last time was during World War II.

The Korean War, the War in Vietnam, and the extended campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq were not officially “wars.” They were military “actions” or “conflicts.”

The difference matters. According to the Constitution, our presidents are not authorized to declare war. Only Congress is. The founding fathers wisely wanted to make it difficult for us to get into expensive and deadly military engagements. It was almost as if they anticipated President Eisenhower’s 1961 warning about the “military-industrial complex”:

“In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist.” – Dwight D. Eisenhower

 

From Letters of Note: John Steinbeck to His Lovesick Son, Nov. 10, 1958 

“Thom,

“There are several kinds of love. One is a selfish, mean, grasping, egotistical thing which uses love for self-importance. This is the ugly and crippling kind. The other is an outpouring of everything good in you – of kindness and consideration and respect – not only the social respect of manners but the greater respect which is recognition of another person as unique and valuable. The first kind can make you sick and small and weak but the second can release in you strength and courage and goodness and even wisdom you didn’t know you had….

“And don’t worry about losing. If it is right, it happens. The main thing is not to hurry. Nothing good gets away.”

 

Great Places to Visit When You’re in LA:

The Getty Villa Museum 

You’ve heard of The Getty Center in LA. By any standard, the museum and gardens are a must-see. Less known, but well worth a sunny morning, is the Getty Villa Museum in Malibu.

Another legacy project of J. Paul Getty, it is dedicated to the study of Greek and Roman art and culture. The collection is huge, with more than 44,000 antiquities from 6,500 BC to 400 AD.

 

Worth Quoting

* “Success has always been easy to measure. It is the distance between one’s origins and one’s final achievement that matters.” – Michael Korda

* “To leave the world richer – that is the ultimate success.” – Eleanor Roosevelt

* “There is only one success… to be able to spend your own life in your own way,
and not to give others absurd maddening claims upon it.” – Christopher Morley

 

Readers Write… 

Re the Feb. 3 issue:

CF on “The Digital Dollar” – “I thought your prediction was crazy when you made it. Now, I’m starting to believe!”

PJC on “The Problem With Managers Managing Up” – “Thank you for that piece on managers that ‘manage up.’ It came at just the right time. I’ve been puzzling about a profit center of our biz that has been falling off of late. I think you nailed it.”

AS on Buster Keaton vs. Charlie Chaplin – “I am still amazed at [Keaton’s] tenacity and creativity in a time well before special effects. How he didn’t break every bone in his body is a mystery.”

Bits and Pieces 

Suffocating in a Cloud of Digital Detritus!

I received a letter from a family member recently. A typewritten letter – actually typewritten, not laser printed – on an 8 x 10 sheet of paper. I tried to remember the last time I’d seen one of those.

This morning, it was sitting, folded, on my bedside table where I had left it. It looked odd. Lonely. Out of place. A fragile relic of the past.

When I began to write on computers, I made photocopies of my poems and stories to protect them from loss. I didn’t trust the computer to store them.

When the iCloud appeared, I was even more skeptical. But then, gradually, I stopped making copies and backing up my files. I had come to believe that everything I put into my computer is not just stored in the Cloud, but stored in perpetuity. I have several ways to delete files. But I’m pretty sure they are never entirely gone. I may be able to erase my access to them, but they are still up there, somewhere in that Cloud.

And that has given rise to a new fear: the possibility that all of my false starts and bad ideas and unkind sentiments are permanently stored in some digital library owned and operated by some digital information tsar.

There’s an ecological issue, too. For it’s not just my digital detritus that is being stored. It’s the data from every single input from every single online human on the face of the Earth.

Trillions of gigabytes of coded and traceable information!

A huge and ever-expanding miasma of energetic waste that is being inserted into the universe, growing exponentially every single day!

 

Essential Skills for Budding Entrepreneurs

A reader writes…

“I am a 23 yr old looking to level up in life. I recently bought and read your book Ready, Fire, Aim. I want to act on what I have learned. Do you have any insight you would be willing to share on opportunities you see around us today? Is learning to write copy going to be as beneficial in entrepreneurial adventures?” – HS

 

Dear HS…

You are on the right track.

As a would-be entrepreneur, there are three essential business skills you should learn. Marketing, salesmanship, and product development. Of those three, salesmanship (knowing how to sell your company’s products and services) is the most important.

It is the most important for two reasons. It will give you the best chance of successfully getting through the first and most challenging stage of your company’s growth. And it will, if you maintain that skill by staying active on the selling side of your business, keep you at the helm of your company as it passes through stages two, three, and four.

There are basically three ways to sell something: on the phone (telemarketing), in person (door-to-door), and in print (copywriting).

Each of these modes of selling will teach you different things.

* Telemarketing (especially outbound telemarketing) will teach you humility – that success in selling is about subordinating your ego to the market.

* Person-to-person selling will teach you sensitivity – how important it is to be able to instantly “read” the prospect’s emotional state.

* Copywriting will teach you self-discipline – the importance of le mot juste. 

If you want to become the best salesperson you can be, you must learn all three of these skills. And that means spending time doing each one.

So, let’s tie this back to the reason you asked about the future of copywriting in the first place: your interest in pursuing a career as an entrepreneur…

What I’ve told you is that you should learn how to sell your company’s products and services even before you start your business.

Brand advertising is still important, but it’s changing. General and commodity marketing have been on the way out for years. Direct and personalized selling are the future.  So, focus your learning on the three forms of direct and personalized selling. And know that of these three, copywriting has (in my opinion, at least) the greatest growth potential.

If you come to copywriting with the experience of having first sold by phone and door-to-door, it will come faster to you. More important, you will have a deeper and more enduring sense of how to write strong, effective copy for your growing business.

 

Is Trump Done?

I hesitate to mention her name, because my liberal friends will dismiss whatever she says because they think of her as a right-wing nut. I’ve been reading her commentary for about a year now. She is a hard-core conservative. And she doesn’t pull any punches. Sometimes I cringe. But I don’t doubt her acumen.

Recently, she said something about Trump that surprised me:

“No one wants Trump. He’s fading faster than Sarah Palin did – and she was second place on a losing presidential ticket. In case you don’t remember, for three years following that loss, Palin was packing stadiums with tens of thousands of Trump-like fans.”

She made a good argument. It’s the first I’ve heard like it.  I’m wondering why would that be? Perhaps it’s because the mainstream media, which has done so well railing against Trump, would like nothing better than to have him run again in 2024.

That’s speculation. But you can read her argument here.

 

Is Demand for Old Masters Ebbing?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

On Jan. 27, Sotheby’s had its annual “Old Masters” auction in NYC. It brought in $88.6 million (after buyer fees). A significant drop from last year’s $115 million.

According to a friend that attended, the sale room was crowded but the “excitement wasn’t there.” Fifty-five pieces went on the block, and 41 of them (75%) sold.

Recently, Suzanne, my partner in Ford Fine Art, and I did a quick study of the price history of art at auctions over the past several decades. I was surprised to see that the demand for Old Masters appeared to be waning.

That was also true of many Modernist masters. I have a theory about why that is, which I’ll talk about in a future issue.

 

What I Believe

Every Truth has an Equal and Opposite Truth.

 

COVID Update 

 Because COVID quickly became a political (i.e., pro- and anti-Trump) issue, we’ve had a tough time getting unbiased information about it from the media. After two years of false claims on both sides, a few facts are becoming clear.

Debate: One of the most prominent debates was about immunity. The liberal media wanted us to believe that vaccinations were the best and perhaps the only defense against COVID. They disputed the conservative argument that natural immunity (from having had COVID) was equally good if not better protection.

Winner: In this debate, the conservative media turned out to be correct.

Facts: On Jan. 12, the CDC issued a statement attesting to the fact that natural immunity is stronger and lasts longer than immunity achieved through vaccinations. In the data cited, natural immunity was 29 times more effective in California and 15 times more effective in New York.

Honorary Mention: The liberal media didn’t lose the bet entirely. The same studies that showed that natural immunity was stronger than vaccination immunity also showed that the best protection was a combination of both – vaccinations and natural immunity. The infection rate for the smart and lucky people who had both was 33 times lower in California and 20 times lower in New York.

Debate: A second debate had to do with the effectiveness of cloth masks. On this issue, the liberal media was strongly in favor of them and the conservative media was skeptical.

Winner: The conservative media again.

 Facts: “We have known for many months that COVID-19 is airborne and therefore a simple cloth mask is not going to cut it,” said Dr. Leana Wen, a public health professor at George Washington University. Finally, on Jan. 16, the CDC updated its guidelines. They didn’t come right out and say that we should avoid cloth masks, but did admit that, as compared to N95 and KN95 masks, they offer the least protection.

 

Interesting: Why Obese People Can’t Lose Weight

“It’s just calories in and calories burned.”

Obesity is not healthy. And, yes, some people are fat because they eat too much and exercise too little. But the science shows (and has repeatedly shown over the last 20+ years) that the primary reason for body size is metabolism, much of which is inherited.

Here’s a good breakdown on the difference between how an obese person processes food and how a normal person does…

 

Words to the Wise 

*  A word I want to use next time I’m in a flower shop: vermillion – a vivid red to orange. Example: “Oh yes! He loved yellow did good Vincent…. When the two of us were together in Arles, both of us insane, and constantly at war over beautiful colors, I adored red; where could I find a perfect vermilion?” (Paul Gauguin)

*  A word I’ll wager I will want to use whenever I want to feel wise: alliteration – the repeated use of the same consonant in a phrase.

*  A word I always misinterpret: canorous – I keep thinking it means an annoying or grating sound. It means quite the opposite, a melodious sound. Example: “Astounding, canorous, enchanting, alembicated and dramatic, the Chopin studies are exemplary essays in emotion and manner.” (Chopin: the Man and His Music by James Huneker)

You Are What You Think About in Your Spare Time

George works for a brand-name, multinational information publishing company. He’s good at what he does. He rose from entry-level to executive-manager level in record time. But he tells me he feels like his career is stalled. He feels like his boss doesn’t appreciate the good work he does. We talked about it…

Me: How do you feel about your job?

George: Bored. Frustrated.

Me: How do you describe your profession when people ask you what you do?

George: I tell them the truth. I’m a social media manager. And I tell them who I work for.

Me: What do you like to think about in your spare time?

George: What do you mean?

Me: I mean in your spare moments. When your mind drifts off.

George: I don’t know.

Me: What were you thinking about on your commute to work this morning?

George: My windshield wipers weren’t working. I was thinking about that.

Me: Anything else? Anything fun?

George: I guess I was thinking about this comedy routine I’m working on. I sometimes do stand-up on weekends.

I had no idea George did stand-up. I tell him what a brave and noble profession I think it is. He lights up. He talks about it animatedly for nearly half an hour.

Me: Well, George, maybe that’s the problem. You are a stand-up comic working as a social media manager.

He smiles. Then he frowns. He doesn’t agree.

What I Believe: Life is fluid. Our minds and hearts are fluid. We respond to circumstances. We make decisions. We take on roles. Things change. The outside things are easy to identify. The inside things sometimes not.

The trouble George is having is not his job, but his commitment to his job. During his early career, he was fully committed. Now he’s not. His core ambition – whether he admits it to himself or not – is comedy. That could change. In a year. In a month. In a week. But until that does change, he will not be a great social media manager. To be great at anything, you have to spend your spare time thinking about it.

 

About the Whoopi Goldberg “Issue”… 

I get that her comments were uninformed.

I can understand why some people were upset. Click here.

But I don’t think she should have been “punished” for making them. “The View” is a talk show. (An amazingly dumb talk show.) Free speech should be the standard. I agree with Fox News commentator Sean Hannity on this…

 

Great Places to Visit: Santa Barbara 

K and I are finishing a week in Santa Barbara. This is the second time we’ve been here and the second time I’ve had this thought: This is one of the most beautiful small cities in the USA.

Reasons to visit…

* Head-smackingly beautiful setting, between the San Ynez Mountains and the Pacific Coast

* Mediterranean climate

* Great wine country

* Spanish colonial architecture

Sites to see…

* Santa Barbara Harbor and Stearns Wharf

* Botanical Gardens

* Marco Lucchesi’s Section Wines Winery

* Shops and restaurants on State Street

Bits and Pieces 

The Problem With Managers Managing Up

When you were the founder and CEO, you knew the organization inside and out. Now, half retired, what you know about the business comes through the CEO you hired when you bumped yourself upstairs.

He’s impressed you. You meet with him once a month. He’s prepared. He’s positive. And he gives you good news: Revenues are strong. Product development is progressing at a good pace. The company reputation on social media is strong. Employees are working hard and happy.

You are pleased. He’s really on top of things. You picked the right guy. You can relax a little.

A year later, the numbers aren’t as strong. Revenues are still high, but profits are dropping. New product development has slowed. Refunds are climbing. You ask questions. He has a good explanation for everything. Moreover, he has already put into place solutions that will get the business back on track. He is upbeat and confident. You want to believe him. So, you do.

Six months later,  you look at the P&Ls and the balance sheet. Revenues are down. Profits are negative. Debt is up. And two key executives have quit. You know that he will have a good explanation for everything, and a plan to get back on track.

But it’s too late for that. You have a very serious problem on your hands. The trajectory of the business is downward. The momentum, once supporting growth, has reversed. You know you have to replace him and begin rebuilding again. But replace him with whom? Who can you get to come in and save the company now?

Some version of this has happened to me several times in my career. And every time it happened, I wondered, “How did I not see this coming?”

The answer is that I did see it coming. But I chose to ignore it. Because:

* The CEO had a superpower I wasn’t aware of when I hired him: He was superbly good at managing me – my beliefs, my expectations, and my hopes.

* As a passive participant in the business, I wanted to believe him. Disbelieving him would have meant making some tough decisions and getting active again.

Lessons learned:

When a CEO always has a “good” explanation for every problem that arises and an inordinately positive expectation of solving it, be suspicious. Real-life business doesn’t work that way. Remember when you were the CEO? Do you remember how often you were distressed about problems and uncertain about how to fix them? That’s reality.

The reason CEOs report to boards is not just to report the numbers, but to seek guidance when needed. When a CEO knows exactly what to do in every situation, you should assume he is bluffing and resist the temptation to believe him.

You should never, ever micromanage a CEO. But when the numbers are wrong and the excuses are glib, you should definitely get actively involved. Accept that as your duty, as a board member, to the business.

Be cognizant of your unconscious motivation to believe easy explanations and satisfying promises. It could be that you simply don’t want to get back into the trenches. Don’t chastise yourself for that. It’s normal. But know this: The moment you do get active again, you will be energized. You will know that you are doing the right thing. For yourself and for the business.

 

Interesting: How Blood Pressure Works

Paulo, one of my trainers, takes my blood pressure before and after each workout. He knows a lot more about health than I do. And he seems to think it’s important. He’s done his best to educate me. But between his accent (Portuguese) and my dimming brain, I’ve not made much progress in comprehending what, exactly, this measurement measures.

I came across this short video yesterday. I found it to be a good and helpful introduction…

 

 The Digital Dollar: Step One

On Jan. 19, the Federal Reserve announced that it was “opening a review to determine the feasibility of having a US digital dollar.”

Chairman Jerome Power said the Fed was “looking forward to engaging with the public, elected representatives, and a broad range of stakeholders… to examine the positives and negatives of a central bank digital currency in the United States.”

I predicted this would happen in the June 28, 2021 issue. But I didn’t think the effort would begin this quickly. I suggested that the government would make its move gradually. Like this:

Step 1. It would quietly encourage the use of digital currencies, particularly those introduced by Google, Amazon, Apple, and other big government allies.

Step 2. It would introduce the digital dollar, with little or no fanfare to avoid scrutiny.

Step 3. It would subordinate the Big Tech currencies to the digital dollar, also as discreetly as possible.

Step 4. It would begin a national campaign (supported by Big Tech) against Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as vehicles for crime.

Step 5. It would outlaw cryptocurrencies and offer free exchange for the digital dollar (or any of its subordinate, Big Tech equivalencies).

Step 6. It would go after those that did not surrender their cryptocurrencies.

At that point, I said, the digital dollar would have taken over, and the government (and Big Tech) would have full financial control of its citizens.

Stay tuned…

 

Great Places to Visit: Going-to-the-Sun Road, Montana

Going-to-the-Sun Road, in Montana’s Glacier National Park, is reportedly one of the most breathtaking drives in the country. The road opened in 1933, though the stretch wasn’t fully paved until 1952. Going-to-the-Sun Road is a feat of modern engineering. Built at high elevation and along sheer cliffs, it stretches for 50 narrow, winding miles, among the park’s best scenic overlooks. Visit in summer. The road is 0ff-limits to tourists in winter due to snow and ice.

Click here.

 

Readers Write… “You are wrong about New York!” 

KK wrote to “take umbrage” with my characterization of New York in the Jan. 12 issue as a dangerous sh*thole.

Re taxpayers fleeing: 

* What I said – “From 2012 to 2018, 200,000 left the city. In 2021, 300,000 fled, most of them high-income earners.”

* What he said – As a percentage (3.5%), these numbers are “statistically insignificant.”

Re businesses lost:  

* What I said –New York has also lost many big and vibrant businesses due to higher taxes and soaring crime. And it has lost hundreds of restaurants and retail stores due to the COVID lockdown.” 

* What he said –I can assure you there is no problem finding a great place to eat or shop. Many of the closed restaurants will be missed only by office workers who are not here anyway.”

Re the city’s infrastructure and sanitation: 

* What I said – “New York has become the dirtiest city in the country. Its infrastructure is crumbling. Its sanitation is Third World.” 

* What he said – “I watch the garbage/recycling being hauled away twice a week as well as the streets being swept. Unless they have changed the definition of ‘Third World,’ this is utterly false. NYC is cleanest it has been in the six years I have lived here.”

 Re the increase in violent crime:  

* What I said – “Murders are up 50%. Rapes are up 25%. Even my wokest friends, loyal denizens of the city, feel it’s unsafe to take a walk at night.” 

* What he said – “I personally know only one person who has been mugged recently.” Then he showed me a study that indicated that violent crimes are a tad higher in my hometown of Delray Beach (at 6.82 per 1,000) than in NYC (at 5.8).

I wanted to put in the time to refute KK’s refutation and further strengthen my case, but I’m busy in LA (another sh*thole) with family, so I’m going to have to wing it here. This is my response…

 Re taxpayers fleeing

3.5% is significant. Keep that up for five years and you are at a loss of 1.5 million state income taxpayers, amounting to a tax base of nearly $300 billion. (At NYC’s median income of $190,000.)

Re businesses lost: 

As far as smaller businesses are concerned, KK is right. The pandemic not only caused record-level closures of small businesses, but also record-breaking starts. So long as NYC’s economy is in recovery mode, shuttered restaurants and other retail businesses will be replaced. But for its economy to recover and stay strong, the city needs to be a center for big finance and big business. And now that the corporate world has learned that it can do business from just about anywhere, why would they stay in super-high tax and high cost locations like NYC?

Re the city’s infrastructure and sanitation: 

I haven’t been in NYC for more than a year. KK lives there. Point to him.

Re the increase in violent crime:  

If you live in an affluent neighborhood anywhere in the world, you won’t notice a rise in murders and other violent crimes. That’s because 90% of them happen in “inner city” neighborhoods. KK lives in an affluent NYC neighborhood.

As for violent crime in Delray Beach… I was shocked to see the data. It’s hard to believe. But, I live in an affluent neighborhood. So, like KK, I couldn’t know that I live in a sh*thole too!

 

 Worth Quoting 

* “Things are beautiful if you love them.” – Jean Anouilh

* “The person who gets one shot needs everything to go right. The person who gets 1,000 shots is going to score at some point. Find a way to play the game that ensures you get a lot of shots.” – James Clear

* “The secret to having lasting personal relationships with friends and family is to assume that in the most fundamental and important ways they will not improve themselves.” – Michael Masterson

Bits and Pieces

What I Believe: Meta-Knowledge = Meta-Tribes

We develop beliefs based on our experiences. Our passive (reading and viewing) experiences as well as our active (physical) ones. Increasingly these days, the Metaverse has become a large part of our passive experiences.

If we become interested in, say, Paul McCartney or Modern Art or the history of serial killers, our social media landscape will tempt us with visual and verbal prompts. If we click on such prompts, we experience not just many more examples of what we are looking for, but examples that are more visceral and compelling.

We sometimes call such journeys going down rabbit holes. That metaphor feels harmless. And it can be harmless – and appropriate – when we are exploring some topics. But when we are traveling through the Metaverse of Ideas, it can become more complicated and profound. That’s because ideas are often harbingers of physical actions. Digital Nation States, such as Facebook and YouTube, understand this. Quite commonly, their algorithms are intended to cause action, whether it be commercial, social, or political.

To optimize and rationalize responsiveness, Digital Nation States divide us into tribes. And the algorithms for each tribe are uniquely structured to deepen our beliefs.

This is a prescription for danger, because the prompted actions can be extreme. We have seen it played out countless times in recent years on both sides of the political and social divides.

And because the algorithms are designed as they are, it is difficult to notice that we are being intellectually and emotionally manipulated. It feels as though we are learning more and understanding more. And so, our anger and our convictions become stronger, while our understanding may not.

In other words, there is actually no correlation between how strongly we feel about our ideas and the truthfulness of them. We are experiencing the world through separate Metaverses of fear. And the only way to keep Metaverse-inspired ideological tribal wars from continuing to flare up into real world violence is to remind ourselves, constantly, of what is happening.

 

How to Keep an Independent Mind

If you are tired of being recruited into ideological tribal wars, it’s not enough to want to think rationally. You have to manage the information you are consuming.

Here are five ways to do that:

  1. Recognize that the news and views you are getting now are probably slanted. Even if they feel like the truth.
  2. Recognize that the facts you are consuming, even if they are accurate, can be just one part of the full picture. Be aware that there may be – are likely to be – facts that support different conclusions.
  3. Feed your mind with a digital diet of diverse ideological viewpoints. For social/political issues that are strongly bifurcated, take in about 50% from each side.
  4. Choose high-quality over low-quality information. High-quality information seeks to present facts objectively and tell stories with nuance. Get your facts and opinions from intelligent, articulate people on both sides.
  5. Make friends with smart people that think differently than you do. Find a way to have civil conversations with them.

 

Speaking of the Metaverse: Censorship in the Digital Nation of Amazon

I’ve pointed this out before: In the Metaverse, freedom of speech does not exist.

Amazon is and will almost certainly continue to be one of the largest Meta Nations. It has more than 300 million active customer accounts and gross revenues of $1.64 trillion.  Furthermore, it controls over 70% of the sales of new books for adults online.

But if you hope to buy or sell a book on Amazon, it has to be one that does not “violate” any of Amazon’s rules.

Ryan Anderson found that out when he published a book about the transgender movement called When Harry Became Sally. It sold reasonably well for three years. Then, suddenly, it disappeared from Amazon’s virtual shelves.

Anderson asked Amazon for an explanation, and was told that his book was in violation of their policies because it “framed LGBTQ and identity as a mental illness.”That’s not what Anderson did, however. He described gender dysphoria as a “deep discomfort that someone would feel as a result of a biological sex that doesn’t line up with their gender identity.” That’s pretty much the clinical definition. But not in the Meta Nation of Amazon.

 

What Makes a Big, Successful Marketing Idea?

Todd Brown, a colleague and friend, recently posted an explanation of an insight about marketing that I shared with him many years ago. It’s certainly not an original idea. I’m sure every successful marketer and salesperson has recognized it at some level. But many people in the biz don’t understand it, and this holds them back.

In this video, Todd presents it better than I could.

 

Interesting: Great Gadgets for Old Folks

There are lots of whacky and silly things on Talk Tech Daily’s list of gadgets for people over 55. But there are some that intrigued me. Some so much that I asked Gio to buy them for me, sight unseen.

Here they are:

* The Photo Stick to find and save your photos

* Range XTD to boost WIFI coverage

* GoDonut for holding laptops, iPhone, etc.

* Olum Ring for Zoom lighting

* XY Find It key locator for iPhone or android

* Robo Form for remembering passwords

* iMemories photo digitizer

* Tvidlers ear wax puller

Read the full list here.

 

Great Places to Retire: Medellín

Colombia, specifically Medellín, is far and away International Living’s  #1 choice in South America. Here’s why:

* Perfect weather, requiring no heat or air conditioning…

* World-class health care…

* A rich cultural scene, with theater, orchestra, and exciting events…

* An affordable cost of living…

* Absolutely low property cost…

* Great investment potential, for both the capital-gains and the income investor

 

Readers Write… 

Re the Jan. 24 issue:

DP writes – “Good piece on the midterm elections! I think you nailed it. It’s all about fear since the Dems decided Trump was a danger to the Deep State. Fear sells better than hope. Still, I hope we can see America come back to sanity.”

Re the Jan. 7 issue:

AS writes – “Since you told me how many books you read every year, I’ve been reading a book a week. One book was 900 pages so it took me a week and a half. I’d like to say you motivated me but, really, it just made me feel guilty.”

Re the Jan. 2I issue:

SL writes – “Thanks for recommending The Hand of God. It’s now at the top of my To Watch list and I’m sure I’m going to enjoy it…. Pinker’s Enlightenment Now changed my world view. Glad you liked it as much as I did. He is a prime example of a public intellectual.”

 

Words to the Wise: Three That I Want to Use

* limerence – the state of being infatuated or obsessed with another person. Example: “But limerence, lovely as it feels, is a time-limited event – it lasts about five years for most couples.” (Alyson Schafer, Breaking the Good Mom Myth)

* velleity – a wish or inclination not strong enough to lead to action. Example: “Who would have imagined then… that the ancient Jewish hope, ‘Next year in Jerusalem’ – for so long more a velleity than a hope, the feeblest and most unanticipated of anticipations – would be realized in their lifetime.” (Howard Jacobson, Kalooki Nights)

* omnishambles – a situation that has been comprehensively mismanaged, characterized by a string of blunders and miscalculations. The word was coined in 2009 by the writers of the BBC political satire The Thick of It. Click here to watch the way they used it the first time.

Bits and Pieces 

The Neuropsychology of “Close Talkers”

A friend writes:

“A customer, who later became the dentist who performed root canal on me, was one of those people who came very close to you when he talked. Seinfeld described those people as, ‘close talkers.’ Whenever he came into my restaurant for dinner, he would chat with me. While he was talking, I found myself taking little baby steps, trying to back away from him. He would then take baby steps forward. I would often seat him before it was his turn, just to get him out of my face. I often wonder what the psychology behind that behavior is.”

I had a friend that did this. And I had the same experience with him. I didn’t like it because I interpreted it as an unconscious form of intimidation.

But then I read a great book on neuropsychology. (I don’t remember the title.)

Neuropsychology is a discipline that investigates the relations between brain processes/mechanisms and cognition/behavioral control.

One chapter of the book explained that the brain is not fully developed at birth. During the first two years of infancy, a lot of important neural development takes place. Most of this depends on the connection between mother and baby. (The father is not important during this period.) If the baby doesn’t get enough of that maternal attention – including breast contact, eye-to-eye contact, sound contact – its brain will not develop as it should.

Another chapter specifically focused on the part of the brain that, among other things, interprets the relationship between distance and intimacy in speech. People whose brains are insufficiently developed in this way cannot identify how far away they need to be to have comfortable, friendly conversations, or how loudly they must project their voices. Typically, they feel that they need to be closer than the social norm. Thus, they are always doing that encroaching thing

After reading that chapter, I spoke to my friend. I told him that I had great news for him. I said, “Did you ever notice how people often back up when you speak to them? Or ask you to quiet your voice?”

He acknowledged that he had.

“Well, the good news,” I announced, “is that you are brain damaged!” (I think I actually said it that way.)

I explained what I had read and advised him that if he wanted others to feel comfortable in talking to him, he had to stand further away and speak more quietly than felt comfortable to him.

And here’s the most amazing thing. He did that, and has continued to do it ever since. Wouldn’t it be great if all brain problems could be solved with a simple conversation?

 

Interesting: About US Stock Ownership

Most of America’s stocks are owned by the top 10% of the population. And among those people, stock market wealth is concentrated in the upper 1%. They got richer – about $10 trillion richer – over the last two years.

(Source: Bonner Denning Letter)

 

Interesting: About Sliced Bread

During World War II, the US government was spending money it didn’t have like never before. Not surprisingly, the cost of nearly everything – from food to fuel – was increasing. In response to this, a new agency, the US Office of Price Administration (OPA), embarked on a nationwide push to ration commodities.

One such commodity was bread. But rather than rationing all bread, which would have pissed off virtually every American, the OPA banned only the sale of pre-sliced bread and the machines that made it.

As with most government plans, there were some unexpected and unwanted outcomes. Bakeries were threatened and fined. Homemakers saw the price of breadknives double. And the populace, as a whole, was irate.

From History.com:

“Invented in 1928, the bread-slicing machine was a revolutionary idea that brought the humble loaf into the modern age. The time-saving creation was so beloved that when the wartime ban was introduced, the American public was outraged. In one letter to The New York Times, a Connecticut woman informed the editor of ‘how important sliced bread is to the morale and saneness of a household.’”

The ban was lifted within two months.

 

Who’s Counting? Homicide Rates Surged in 2021

Since George Floyd’s death, homicides and other violent crimes have surged. And the great majority of this is Black-on-Black crime. In 2021, 2,400 more Black males and 405 more Black females were murdered than were murdered the year before. According to the FBI, this was the largest year-to-year increase in homicides in US history.

Chicago provides a good example of how this surge exists mostly in Black communities. Through December of 2021, 767 people were murdered in the city. Of that number, 615 (or 80%) were Black. 8 (1%) were White. And 144 were – bizarrely – identified as “unknown.”

 

On My List: Harbin International Ice and Snow Sculpture Festival 

I’ve just put this place on my bucket list in the see-before-you die column. Harbin is a city in the north of China where each year up to 18 million visitors come to see an amazing display of gleaming snow carvings modeled after everything from global landmarks to cartoon characters. The Harbin Ice and Snow World is an exhibition of about 2,000 sculptures, crafted from more than seven million cubic feet of ice and brought to life with computer-controlled LEDs.

 

Worth Quoting: On Possessions 

* “It is preoccupation with possessions, more than anything else, that prevents us from living freely and nobly.” – Bertrand Russell

* “Many wealthy people are little more than janitors of their possessions.” – Frank Lloyd Wright

* “Most people seek after what they do not possess and are thus enslaved by the very things they want to acquire.” – Anwar El-Sadat

Bits and Pieces 

You Have to Admit… This Is Weirdly Encouraging 

A Maryland man with a terminal heart problem had a heart transplant. The donor was a one-year-old pig. Not an ordinary farmyard pig, but a genetically modified specimen whose heart was compatible with the human cardiac system.

When I first read about this, I thought: “Why are they doing this? What’s wrong with human hearts?” As it turns out, in the US alone, there are more than 100,000 Americans waiting for organ transplants. And 6,000 die each year while waiting.

In any case, this is good news, right? These early-stage medical technology patients are heroes in my book. I can imagine my grandkids, when they get to my age, being offered a menu of organs, each with its own warranties and pricing.

 

What’s Up With the Effort to End the Filibuster? 

In order to pass its election “reform” bill, Senate Democrats tried to do away with the filibuster, the 105-year-old protocol for slowing down or even blocking legislation that does not have bipartisan support.  What I don’t understand is this: Given the likelihood that Republicans might gain control of the Senate in 2022, why would the Democrats give up the filibuster? During the Trump administration, they used it to slow or block Republican legislation 589 times! Click here.

 

2022 Midterm Elections: The Fear Wars Continue!

A few of my liberal friends are still afraid of the virus, but much less so than they were last year. They are leaving their homes, attending gatherings, and going maskless outdoors. In other words, they are behaving pretty much like my conservative friends.

That poses a problem, though: It’s harder for them to identify the enemy.

The 2020 election was a media battle between the Left and the Right, each mongering fear. For the right, it was urban violence and the decay of Judeo-Christian culture. For the left, it was COVID. COVID won.

With the 2022 elections nearing, the right is doubling down on their key issues, pumping out data on the continuing surge of violent crime and news articles on how Critical Race Theory is being taught to grammar school children.

I believe the Left intended to stick with COVID, but the fear they can squeeze from that lemon is just about zilch. So, they are putting their money on January 6. They are calling it an “insurrection” and a “threat to Democracy.” I’ve watched just about every bit of video put out by CNN, CNBC, and the rest. It was about as scary as a group of high school teens throwing cherry bombs in the school bathroom. That they have made this characterization work is a mind-boggling media accomplishment.

The other bet the Left is making is on the voting rights issue. Recent changes in various Red States have been characterized as efforts to make it more difficult for minorities to vote. The facts don’t support that, unless you believe the utterly condescending and racist notion that people of color are less able to carry an ID. (The fact is that most African-Americans and Hispanics support voter ID requirements.)

I would have never imagined that anyone would take either of these narratives seriously. But, indeed, some have. Several of my liberal friends – actually smart, conscientious people – have told me as much. They are afraid that the Proud Boys and Southerners are going to put America back to Jim Crow.

So, I’m going to be watching to see how these narratives take hold. The key will be independent voters. Since Biden took office, there has been a significant shift from registered Democrats to registered Independents. From the surveys I’ve seen, their big issues are Biden’s failure to end COVID and inflation.

The fear of the virus is nearly gone due to the low lethality of the Omicron strain. It will disappear almost entirely the moment someone in the Biden administration persuades POTUS to follow Boris Johnson’s lead.

The fear of the End of Democracy and the rise of Jim Crow will likely stay strong among the Left’s core audience. The question is: Will Independents believe it?

 

Three Reason to Retire in Belize

* The language in Belize is English.

* The country uses common law.

* Business owners are not required to have liability insurance.

(Source: International Living)

 

Interesting: About the Human Brain 

This is a very good TED Talk about the human brain. It turns out that we have very ordinary primate brains, just larger. It explains why human brains soak up so much of our caloric consumption. Also, why neurons are expensive in terms of energy use. Hint: It’s all about the amazing invention of cooking! (And why raw-food diets are bad for you!) Click here to watch it.

 

Interesting: About Viking England

I’ve always thought of English history as a story in two parts. Everything before the Norman Invasion of 1066 was the era of the Anglo-Saxons. And everything afterwards (and every monarch afterwards) was the era of the Normans (who came from France.)

What I never knew is that half a century before William the Conqueror set his sights on England, a Dane – King Cnut – conquered and ruled over the country.

King Cnut exiled Anglo-Saxon royalty, but respected England’s past kings, created laws based on English ones, and eventually exported some English ideas to his kingdoms in Denmark and Norway.

After his death in 1035, he was succeeded by his sons, who didn’t possess their father’s talents for suppressing those lowly Anglo-Saxons. In 1042, England’s exiled Anglo-Saxon rulers returned, and the North Sea Empire crumbled.

But for a short time – caught between two great epochs of history – England was Viking territory.

(Source: Travel Trivia)

 

Politically Incorrect

I’ve mentioned Russell Brand – a comedian I like because he is politically incorrect – here on the blog several times. Tom Segura is one that is new to me. Click here and here to watch him in action Let me know what you think.

 

Readers Write… 

Re the link at the end of the Jan. 14 issue

DP writes: “Please feel free to tell me to ‘fuck off,’ but in your latest blog at the end under bullshit criticism (which was hilarious) you refer to the man on the left as ‘the Black guy.’ You don’t refer to the woman on the right as ‘the white woman.’  There’s only one man in the frame so it just seemed unnecessary.”

My reply: Good catch! However, I looked it up in the usage section of my Ultimate Woke Dictionary, 2020 edition. According to that, as long as the comparison puts the Black person in a positive light, it’s considered acceptable usage. Of course, that was the 2020 edition. The rule may have changed.

Re the Jan. 17 issue, “What’s Up with That?”

MF writes: “Great post, great advice. I had this discussion today with a colleague. I came up the same conclusion.”

 

 Words to the Wise  

* A word I misunderstood: wonky. I thought it had something to do with wonks, as in smart in a nerdy way. It actually means defective, wobbly, or twisted to one side. As used by Richard Dawkins in The Ancestor’s Tale: “The prettiest real-life example I can think of is the wonky-eyed jewel squid of Australian waters, whose left eye is much larger than its right.”

* A word I never knew how to pronounce: quixotic. I knew it came from Don Quixote – the story of a man who imagines himself to be a knight and sets out to right wrongs. And I knew it meant idealistic and unrealistic. Since I pronounce Quixote as kee-HOE-tee, I thought quixotic would be pronounced kee-HAH-tik. But according to my English dictionary, the “x” is pronounced as in English, not Spanish. So it’s kwiks-AH-tik.

* A word I’m trying to use: coprolalia. It means the involuntary use of obscene language, a symptom of Tourette Syndrome. I intend to use it to correct my senior friends that continue to use the F-word unnecessarily.

Bits and Pieces

The Virus Is All Around Us 

The coronavirus is spreading faster now than at any time since it was first reported on Dec. 31, 1919. But the mutation that’s raging across the world right now appears to be much less serious in terms of hospitalizations and deaths, according to the CDC.

Over the Christmas/New Year holidays, we had lots of family members and friends at the house. All of them had been vaccinated. Most of them observed the “protocols” of wearing masks and bumping fists. But, as in restaurants throughout the country, when it was time to eat, the masks came off.

Four contracted the virus. Two of them had been previously infected. I noticed that there didn’t seem to be any connection between proximity and contagion. The spouses did not contract it, despite sleeping in the same bed.

This was not what one would have expected, given the information coming out of the CDC. So, what is going on?

 

New Evidence of Protection Against COVID 

Researchers with Imperial College London found that the presence of T cells from the common cold can provide some protection against the virus that causes COVID-19. The scientists assessed 52 contacts of newly diagnosed cases to pinpoint when they were first exposed, and determined that those who tested negative for COVID-19 had higher cross-reactive T cell levels.

And this just in: Cannabis compounds may prevent the COVID-19 virus from penetrating healthy human cells. Click here.

 

Meanwhile… You Can Leave the Masks at Home! 

In the latest episode of “Why I Can’t Believe Dr. Fauci,” Pfizer board member and former FDA commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb said on Jan. 2 that cloth masks don’t provide much protection against the Omicron variant.

“This is an airborne disease,” Gottlieb said, speaking on Face the Nation. “We now understand that, and a cloth mask is not going to protect you from a virus that spreads through airborne transmission. It could protect better through droplet transmission, something like the flu, but not something like this coronavirus.”

In a recent report, the CDC admitted as much, but made the rather tepid argument that a cloth mask “may be” better than no mask. 

“Cloth masks have been used in healthcare and community settings to protect the wearer from respiratory infections. The use of cloth masks during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is under debate. The filtration effectiveness of cloth masks is generally lower than that of medical masks and respirators; however, cloth masks may provide some protection if well designed and used correctly.”

 

Scary: This From a Supreme Court Justice? 

During arguments made before the Supreme Court on Jan. 7, Justice Sonia Sotomayor claimed that 100,000 children were hospitalized or seriously ill with COVID-19. When I heard that, I thought: “No way!”

In fact, the number is about 3,500, according to CDC Director Rochelle Walensky.

“In some hospitals that we’ve talked to, up to 40% of the patients who are coming in with COVID are coming in not because they’re sick with COVID, but because they’re coming in with something else and have had COVID or the Omicron variant detected,” Walensky said.

More COVID confusion: Dr. Robert Malone, a virologist and immunologist who has contributed significantly to the technology of mRNA vaccines, issued a strong caution. “Think twice before you vaccinate your kids,” he said. “Because if something bad happens, you can’t go back and say, ‘Whoops, I want a do-over.’”

 

My Hope for Adams Is Falling Fast 

In reviewing the surge in violent crime that plagued New York City under former mayor Bill de Blasio, I said that the new mayor, Eric Adams, has a great opportunity to turn the city around.

Since then, he’s done two things that have made me doubt him. First, he appointed Brendan McGuire to be the city’s Attorney General. And McGuire, it turns out, seems to be one of the new crop of AGs that believe they are entitled to, in effect,  legislate laws they don’t believe in or laws against groups they support.

Now Adams has come out in support of a new bill that would give voting rights for city elections to about 800,000 non-citizens. The law applies to legal permanent residents, people with working papers, and so-called “Dreamers,” as long as they’ve been residents of the city for 30 consecutive days.

“About 1.1 million votes were cast in the recent mayoral election,” said Dan Stein, president of the Federation for American Immigration Reform. “With the addition of some 800,000 foreign nationals to the voter rolls, they will almost certainly have an impact on the outcome of future elections.”

 

So, Who Is Ray Epps? 

Some conservative pols and commentators want to know.

What is known for sure is that he was repeatedly photographed and videotaped during the Jan. 6 fiasco prompting others to action.

He was on the FBI’s most-wanted page (concerning the fiasco) for six months. And then, mysteriously, his image was pulled off of it. He wasn’t charged. Hundreds of others that were less active were. So that got some thinking: Could Mr. Epps have been working for law enforcement?

In a recent hearing, Senator Ted Cruz asked Jill Sanborn, the FBI assistant director for national security, 10 questions about Epps and other possible undercover agents photographed at the event. Sanborn admitted that she is aware of Epps, but said she didn’t have “specific background for him.”

Cruz specifically asked whether Epps worked with the FBI. Sanborn declined to answer. He also asked whether any federal informants participated in the riots, encouraged the riots, or removed barriers.

“I cannot answer that,” Sanborn responded to each query.

“Five seconds after Mr. Epps whispered to a person, that same person began forcibly tearing down the barricades. Did Mr. Epps urge them to tear down the barricades?” Cruz asked.

“I cannot answer that,” Sanborn replied.

Senator Tom Cotton asked Assistant AG Matthew Olsen, the head of DOJ’s national security branch, a similar line of questions. Olsen said that he wasn’t aware of any plainclothes officers among the Jan. 6 crowd, and didn’t know whether any undercover agents entered the Capitol.

Olsen also said that he didn’t have any information about Epps. “This was a man on the most-wanted page for six months. Do you really expect us to believe that you don’t know anything about him?” Cotton asked.

“I simply don’t have any information at all,” Olsen responded.

The Jan. 6 committee issued the following statement shortly after the hearing: “Committee is aware of unsupported claims that Ray Epps was an FBI informant based on the fact that he was on the FBI Wanted list and then was removed from that list without being charged. The Select Committee has interviewed Mr. Epps. Mr. Epps informed us that he was not employed by, working with, or acting at the direction of any law enforcement agency.”

 

 Innocence Project Update 

Pervis Payne, middle, with his attorneys,

David Fletcher and Kelley Henry, Nov. 24, 2021

(Image: Brandon Dill/Innocence Project)

Pervis Payne spent the past 33 years on death row in Tennessee for a crime he’s always said he did not commit. Last month, he was finally removed from death row after the Shelby County District Attorney’s Office conceded that Pervis has an intellectual disability, which makes it unconstitutional to execute him.

Although there was a possibility that Judge Paula Skahan might rule on how Pervis will serve the rest of his sentence, instead she said she would issue a written ruling on his re-sentencing by Jan. 24, based on “compelling arguments” from both sides.

Nineteen family, friends, and prison officials had testified to Pervis’s “loving” and “gentle” character, and demonstrated that he would not pose a threat to society if released. In one instance, Pervis risked his life to save Captain Mosley, a veteran corrections officer, from an attack by another incarcerated individual that left him with 57 stitches.

Judge Skahan will ultimately decide whether Pervis should be given consecutive life sentences – meaning he would likely die in prison – or concurrent sentences, which would make him eligible for parole within six years.