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The Iran War, AI, Media Bias, and the Great Divide

Notes from My Journal: 

The political event that, in 2016, sliced America into two political/social tribes, and has steadily widened and deepened in the past 10 years, is about to become an irreversible fact in our nation’s future. At least, that’s how I am feeling as I absorb the incredibly rapid expansion and progression of AI technology throughout every aspect of my life.

Last night at the Cigar Club, I took part in a “So-what-are-you-up to?” conversation with four friends and Number One Son (who was visiting with his family for a week and is in the process of inventing some sort of AI tool) that slid quickly into a succession of animated accounts about businesses started in minutes and millions of jobs being rendered redundant with every passing month.

This is something I’ve been thinking about since I saw how AI had already and forever disrupted the commercial advertising industry in the summer of 2025, which I wrote about last month in the Feb. 28 issue. That’s when I introduced my “80/20” hypothesis about how AI is going to radically deflate the value of 80% of the highest-paying trades and professions, leaving workers unable to even earn a living without increasing their production 500% through the competent use of AI.

The conversation last night quickly mutated into a techno-pigeon form of English that I could not fully understand, but understood enough to recognize that, whatever subtle differences the others had between them about this or that future development, they all shared my view of how quickly and deeply AI is about to change the world and the probability of an 80/20 outcome.

And that gave me one more reason to get going with my $100 million 80/20 Club project. If only I knew what, exactly, that is going to be.

When I look at the world around me, I see so much in flux that I’m hesitant to make a lot of predictions. Well… that’s not true. I’m eager to make predictions that will in some way disturb or downright irritate 80+% of the people that read the following:

10 Ways the World Will Be Different in 10 Years

1. The current monetary system will be completely reinvented. Cash and cryptocurrencies will be illegal and the diehards that hold onto them, believing that they have safety in the “crypto,” will be in jail. The only legal currency will be digital, and the most dominant one will be – surprise, surprise – the digital dollar!

2. There will be no more annual filing for income taxes, or quarterly filing for corporate taxes, or filing for any sort of taxes at all. Taxes will be entirely controlled by governmental AI accounting systems. Every dollar that every citizen owes to the government, whether he or she knows it or not, will be determined and collected by this hugely more powerful taxing authority. All of it will be done without any input from individual income earners or corporations.

3. Serious crimes – including murder, kidnapping, rape, human trafficking, severe child abuse, armed robbery, carjacking, arson, larceny, arms dealing, large-scale manufacturing and/or distribution of controlled substances, embezzlement, money laundering, identity theft, tax evasion, forgery, insider trading, and terrorism – will have been nearly 100% eliminated, except for crimes committed by the really (not judicially determined) insane.

4. Most misdemeanor crimes – including simple assault, domestic violence, trespassing, possession of stolen property, public intoxication, traffic violations, littering, loitering, public inebriation, smoking and/or drinking in prohibited areas – will be extremely rare because the detection, prosecution, and punishment of them will be supervised and executed by advanced AI technology, including video and audio recording systems, as well as digitalized and AI-run judicial and prosecutorial systems.

5. There will be no more illegal migration, no more illegal voting, no more smuggling, people trafficking, or human slavery, except when permitted by governments.

6. Nation-states as they currently exist will be transformed into three or four “digital mega-states” that will each have their own laws, judicial protocols, and processes that will exist to reinforce the cultural values determined by AI algorithms that have already been designed.

7. Personal and financial privacy will cease to exist. Every action of every citizen will be recorded and embedded on blockchains that will be owned and controlled by the managers of the digital mega-states. There will be only minor and sporadic objections to these changes because the great percentage of the populations affected by them will welcome them with open arms.

8. Social credit scoring will be universal, with credits given for all actions in compliance with digital mega-state mandates and deductions given for all actions, including expressions of thought, that are contrary to the values and principles of the digital mega-states, which will have been permanently embedded in their algorithms. Again, these changes will be not only accepted by the majority of the citizenry, they will be embraced by them.

9. Drug addiction will no longer be treated as a threat to society, although people convicted as drug addicts will be incarcerated in open-air prisons that will provide them with enough nutrition to keep them alive, along with strong drugs that will keep them unable to leave the open-air prisons.

10. Having more than two children will be illegal in all digital mega-states and will be enforced through massive vaccination systems. As a result, the world population will fall precipitously each year, and eventually settle at three to five billion.

Spinning the Facts

It’s been obvious from the beginning that there are built-in biases to the way news is reported by certain “authorities.” And it’s been obvious for at least a half-dozen years that AI was going to accelerate this political/social schism that’s been taking place all over the civilized world. 
 
It was predictable. Twenty years ago, when tech pioneers were first experimenting with AI, there was no general concern about media bias. Thus, the men and women that programmed the algorithms that informed the logic of the three major AI products that exist today had no reason to be concerned about coding in their own prejudices when they were instructing AI how to “think reasonably.”
 
I’m hardly the first person to say this, but if you read the news and views of the NYT every day (which I’ve recently started to do) and compared them to coverage in, say, The Daily Wire (or similar conservative media outlets), you would not believe that you were reading accounts of the same topics.
 
The war against Iran is a good example. For the last week, the NYT has been featuring stories about how Iran’s resolve in defending itself against Israel and the US has been getting stronger and Trump has realized that his opponents were right and we are essentially losing the war.
 
Examples from the NYT:
* “Iran Signals Resolve as Strikes Fail to Deter Regional Ambitions”
* “Early Gains Fade as US and Israel Confront Limits of Military Pressure”
* “Trump Faces Backlash as Conflict with Iran Deepens”
* “Allies Question Strategy as War Risks Spiral Beyond Control”
* “Civilian Toll and Regional Fallout Raise Doubts About Campaign”
* “Iran Adapts Quickly, Blunting Impact of Initial Bombing Campaign”
 
Examples from The Daily Wire
* “US-Israel Strikes Cripple Iranian Capabilities, Officials Say”
* “Iran Scrambles as Precision Attacks Disrupt Military Infrastructure”
* “Media Downplays Major Strategic Wins Against Tehran”
* “Trump Stands Firm as Critics Misread Battlefield Reality”
* “Iranian Retaliation Signals Weakness, Not Strength”
* “Critics Proven Wrong as Strategy Gains Ground”
 
If you are an exclusive reader of one or the other, you will likely feel that your favored source is telling the truth and the other is not even slanting the truth – they are outright lying!
 
The problem is that each approach has a basis in facts, but each one is spinning it differently. This is accomplished, with the help of AI, by inputting the conclusion rather than the challenge – i.e., “Take these facts from the NYT/Daily Wire and spin them for/against Donald Trump and the MAGA party.”
 
Feed that to AI, tell it to do the research for you, and it’ll spit out answers in a matter of seconds. Then, if you compare the headlines to the stories, you’ll see how the facts are manipulated. 
 
One way it’s done is by placing the same events on different time horizons. For example:
* The NYT emphasizes long-term instability and unintended consequences.
The Daily Wire emphasizes short-term tactical gains.
 
Another tactic. The same facts carry different emotional weight:
* The NYT’s tone – caution, doubt, erosion
The Daily Wire’s tone – confidence, momentum, validation
 
A third tactic. The same conflict suggests different outcomes:
* The NYT – The strategy may be failing.
The Daily Wire – The strategy is working.
 
And then there is the way each group designs the narrative pattern. For example, in NYT coverage:
* Early military successes are portrayed as temporary or overstated.
* Iran is depicted as resilient, adaptive, and strategically patient.
* Emphasis is placed on escalation risks, civilian costs, and geopolitical instability.
* Internal US political divisions are highlighted, particularly regarding Trump.
 
And with conservative media like The Daily Wire, you will see that: 
*Military effectiveness and tactical success are emphasized.
* Iran is portrayed as weakened, reactive, or under pressure.
* Media skepticism is framed as bias or defeatism.
* US leadership – especially Trump – is presented as decisive and effective.
 
With AI Plugged into Our Brains, Is the Divide Here to Stay?
 
I was once confident that the divide would eventually disappear, and that the friends and family members who had been so divided for so many years would come back together because it was the sensible thing to do.
 
But now I’m thinking it will not disappear. It may be as deep as the divide that occurred in the US during the Civil War, and it could be deeper, stronger, and longer, thanks to the daily prompts coming from algorithm-based views.
 
Just (Some of) the Facts:

The Iran War with Left vs. Right Framing 

1. The war began with a large US–Israel strike (≈900 initial targets).
* Left-leaning framing: A massive preemptive escalation that risks regional war and may violate international norms.
* Right-leaning framing: A necessary, decisive strike to neutralize imminent threats and restore deterrence.

2. Iran’s Supreme Leader was killed early in the conflict.
* Left: A destabilizing assassination that risks chaos, retaliation, and long-term instability.
* Right: A strategic decapitation strike removing a central architect of anti-Western aggression.

3. Iran’s regime has not collapsed.
*Left: Proof that military intervention rarely produces regime change and may strengthen hardliners.
* Right: Evidence that deeper pressure is needed. Early expectations of collapse were unrealistic.

4. Iran has retaliated across the region.
* Left: Predictable blowback from escalation. Widening war was foreseeable.
* Right: Confirmation of Iran’s aggressive posture and justification for confronting it directly.

5. Proxy groups (Hezbollah, Houthis) have joined the conflict.
* Left: The war is expanding dangerously into a broader regional conflict.
* Right: Demonstrates Iran’s longstanding proxy network that needed to be confronted.

6. Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have affected global oil supply.
* Left: The war is harming global economic stability and punishing civilians worldwide.
* Right: Iran is weaponizing global energy routes, underscoring the need to weaken its control.

7. Oil prices have risen sharply (≈50% increase).
* Left: Economic fallout shows the cost of military adventurism.
* Right: Short-term cost for long-term security. Instability reflects Iran’s actions, not US policy alone.

8. US forces have suffered casualties (13+ dead, hundreds wounded).
* Left: American lives are being lost in another avoidable Middle Eastern conflict.
* Right: Sacrifices are the cost of confronting hostile regimes and protecting national interests.

9. Civilian casualties in Iran exceed 1,000.
* Left: Humanitarian crisis. Civilian harm undermines moral legitimacy of the campaign.
* Right: Civilian deaths are tragic but often the result of Iran embedding military assets in populated areas.

10. Iranian missile attacks have killed civilians in Israel.
* Left: Escalation is endangering civilians on all sides. Cycle of violence continues.
* Right: Proof of Iran’s willingness to target civilians and justification for continued military response.

11. Both sides claim military success.
* Left: Conflicting narratives show the fog of war and potential overstatement by officials.
* Right: Tangible degradation of Iran’s capabilities indicates real progress despite ongoing threats.

12. Iran has shifted to asymmetric warfare (proxies, cyberattacks).
* Left: Military escalation has pushed Iran into harder-to-control forms of conflict.
* Right: This has always been Iran’s strategy. Current actions are exposing and degrading it.

13. Information warfare and propaganda are widespread.
* Left: Disinformation complicates public understanding and can justify continued escalation.
* Right: Iran is actively manipulating global opinion. Western media may unintentionally amplify it.

14. Diplomatic efforts are ongoing but fragmented.
* Left: Diplomacy should have been prioritized earlier to avoid war.
* Right: Diplomacy is only effective when backed by military strength and leverage.

15. The US faces no clear “good” strategic option.
* Left: This reflects a policy failure and the dangers of entering complex conflicts.
* Right: Hard choices are inevitable in geopolitics. Inaction would have been worse.

What’s Going On? 

One could argue that nothing much is going on here, that there has been a difference in how the news is reported by left-leaning and right-leaning media since Ben Franklin’s era. But I don’t see it that way. I think the NYT has it mostly wrong, and I’m betting that the facts that come out over the next several months will prove me right.

We’ll have to wait and see. In the meantime, I thought you might want to read the book that I review below, in which the author suggests that the NYT’s current slant is nothing new. Some of the facts he presents may shock and even surprise you, as they did me.

Worth Reading: The Gray Lady Winked

Published: May 2021
Pages: 283

The Gray Lady Winked by Ashley Rindsberg was a Mules book of the month. Like so many of the Mules’ selections, this is one I would not have otherwise read, but was glad I did.

Summary: All news channels make mistakes, including The New York Times. But in The Gray Lady Winked, Rindsberg argues that it is not merely occasionally wrong. It is constantly wrong, and has been on the “wrong side” of major political events for almost 100 years. Furthermore, he argues, the paper has gotten it wrong because it is systematically influenced by assumptions, ideology, and access to power.

What I Liked About It: It confirmed my disappointment in the paper since I became a responsible adult and discovered the value of critical thinking.

What Surprised and Disappointed Me: I had convinced myself that my original admiration for and trust in the NYT was well-founded, and that the Leftist, pro-Communist, and antisemitic perspective it has had for the last 10 or 15 years was a recent phenomenon. But Rindsberg makes a very compelling argument that it has had that perspective since it was founded.

Here are 10 prominent examples:

1. Soviet Union Famine (1930s – Ukraine / Holodomor)
NYT correspondent Walter Duranty downplayed or denied mass starvation – famously writing that “there is no actual starvation” – even though millions were dying, helping obscure one of the 20th century’s worst atrocities.

2. Hitler and Nazi Germany (1930s)
Early NYT coverage minimized Nazi persecution of Jews, often burying reports of anti-Jewish violence or softening their tone, understating the urgency and scale of the threat.

3. Holocaust Coverage Placement (1940s)
The NYT frequently placed Holocaust reports away from the front page and folded them into general war coverage, failing to convey the scale and singular nature of the genocide as it unfolded.

4. Stalin Show Trials (1936–1938)
NYT reporting treated forced confessions as credible and showed little skepticism toward Soviet claims, lending legitimacy to what were later exposed as propaganda-driven trials.

5. Castro’s Cuba (1950s)
The NYT portrayed Fidel Castro as a reformer rather than a future authoritarian, contributing to a misleadingly favorable image before he consolidated power.

6. Vietnam War – Tet Offensive (1968)
NYT coverage emphasized US vulnerability and psychological defeat, shaping the perception that the war was being lost despite heavy losses by North Vietnam.

7. Soviet Downing of Korean Air Lines Flight 007 (1983)
The NYT initially gave greater weight to Soviet explanations and treated US claims with skepticism, though later evidence showed the shootdown was deliberate.

8. Iraq War – Weapons of Mass Destruction (2002–2003)
NYT reporting – especially by Judith Miller – supported claims about Iraqi WMDs, helping build the public case for war on intelligence later discredited and internally criticized.

9. 9/11 and Pre-Attack Signals
The paper underemphasized warning signs and the rise of extremist networks prior to 9/11, reflecting institutional blind spots that affected coverage priorities.

10. Trump–Russia Collusion Narrative (2016–2019)
The NYT devoted extensive coverage to alleged coordination between Donald Trump and Russia, often conveying strong confidence, even though the Mueller investigation did not establish a criminal conspiracy.

Customizable Living Will

Readers Write: A “Customizable Living Will” from JM, one of the Myrtle Beach boys… 

Mark – Your essay in the March 9 issue about “years to live” got me to thinking about my own mortality, and, in particular, the legal vicissitudes that accompany the last chapter that can go very wrong, unless one is forward thinking, like you clearly are, and properly prepared. Thus, I was prompted to write the following living will form, personalized to me. I’m sending to you because I suspect that you or some of your readers, will want to emulate it.

 

CUSTOMIZED LIVING WILL FORM

I, ____________________, being of sound mind and body, do not wish to be kept alive indefinitely by artificial means. Under no circumstances should my fate be put in the hands of pinhead partisan politicians who couldn’t pass ninth-grade biology if their lives depended on it, or lawyers/ doctors/ hospitals interested in simply running up the bills.

If a reasonable amount of time passes, and I fail to ask for at least one of the following it should be presumed that I won’t ever get any better: __Vodka on Rocks __a Margarita __a Scotch __Glass of Wine __a Bloody Mary __a Gin and Tonic __a Tee Time __a Steak __Beer __Lobster or Crab Legs __the Remote Control __a Bowl of Ice Cream __the Sports Page __Sex __or Chocolate.

When such a determination is reached, I hereby instruct my appointed person and attending physicians to pull the plug, reel in the tubes, and call it a day. At this point, it is time to call the New Orleans Jazz Funeral Band to come do their thing at my funeral, and ask all of my friends to raise their glasses to toast the good times we have had.

Signature: ____________________ Date: ________