The Digital Dollar Approaches

As I predicted in past issues, the US government is moving forward with its intention to put an end to cryptocurrencies and replace them with a digital dollar. And as noted on Feb. 3, it’s been happening a lot faster than I expected.

The first step was taken on Jan. 9 with the announcement that the Fed was “opening a review to determine the feasibility of having a US digital dollar.”

The next step was the March 9 EO from Biden, “Executive Order on Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets,” that includes a subsection – 5(b)(vii) – requiring the Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) to begin working on an interagency report addressing “the potential for these [blockchain] technologies to impede or advance efforts to tackle climate change at home and abroad,” as well as “the effect of cryptocurrencies’ consensus mechanisms on energy usage.”

This is pretty clever. Instead of charging cryptocurrencies with playing a role in white-collar crime, drug running, and tax evasion (a rationale that will surely come next), the smart folks behind the digital dollar are leading the charge with this environmental concern.

And it’s interesting, because what makes certain cryptocurrencies so energy dependent is an algorithm that limits their production. It’s called proof of work (PoW).

PoW, which is used by Bitcoin, makes miners compete to solve a mathematical puzzle. The work involved in solving the puzzle becomes increasingly more complicated as the total number of the coins in circulation grows. Each calculation, then, becomes increasingly expensive, mostly in terms of electricity.

When Bitcoin debuted, a calculation could have cost the miner mere pennies. Now, each one costs tens of thousands of dollars.

This is a good thing, because it ensures that the value of each newly mined Bitcoin must increase. If it didn’t, there would be no point in spending money to mine them.

The ultimate goal is to make the Bitcoin anti-inflationary, just like the dollar was before President Nixon unshackled it from the value of gold. Since then, the actual value of the dollar has decreased by something like 99%.

If the people behind this were being honest, they would be saying, “We don’t like Bitcoin because if it one day replaces the dollar, we won’t be able to spend money we don’t have.” But they won’t say that, because it would lay bare a simple fact about our monetary policy: that it was purposely designed to let the government bribe voters with various programs it can’t afford.

Here’s the way I see the government’s current plan playing out:

* Introduce the idea of a digital dollar. (That’s already been done.)

* Start a campaign explaining why digital currencies are bad. (The March 9 EO was the first salvo.)

* Ramp up the advertising for the digital dollar as a solution to tax cheating and white-collar crime. (That’s coming next.)

* Roll out the digital dollar with major media support.

* Ban Bitcoin and all similar (i.e., anti-inflationary) digital currencies.

* Then be able to track, tax, and control the citizenry in every possible way.

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Is a Crypto Winter Coming?

In his recent quarterly earnings call, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said, “Ironically… I’ve never been more bullish on where we are as a company.”

He said that in the midst of a cryptocurrency free-fall. Coinbase stock dropped 60% in five days.

Armstrong even admitted that he’s anticipating a so-called “crypto winter.” But he is confident that the company can survive it by making good use of its $7 billion balance sheet and by “hiring talent and acquiring companies.”

Maybe. I don’t think the cryptocurrency industry is over yet. There will likely be upticks in the future. But given the existential threat that cryptocurrencies pose to all governments that print fiat currencies, I’m betting they will become, in my lifetime, a thing of the past.

And I just saw this little news item:

 New York Senate Passes Moratorium on Bitcoin Mining 

Click here.

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Maybe “good to know” is taking it too far. Here are five things I was amused by recently.

* Johns Hopkins students design edible tape to keep your burrito wrapped. Click here.

* US weddings are at their lowest in six decades. Click here.

* Exploring the United States of pizza. Click here.

* Science images selected by Nature magazine’s photo team. Click here.

* Inside the soon-to-open orbital space hotel. Click here.

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Oaxaca, Mexico

I can’t believe it’s been more than 20 years since I was in Oaxaca (wa-HAH-ka) and I’ve never been back. I was so enchanted by it that I nearly bought a small house in the center of the city to use as a pied-à-terre. I didn’t. Oh well.

Number One Son was in high school, blond and blue-eyed. I remember walking down a street like the one above with him. He was talking animatedly about something, completely unaware of the Mexican girls gawking at him. When I caught their eyes, they blushed and laughed.

The city is known for its unique combination of Spanish colonial architecture and Mixtec and Zapotec cultural influences. It was, and I’m sure still is, a treasure trove of artifacts and opportunities, museums and art galleries, and craft stores of every sort. I bought a set of small paintings on tin that were made to beseech the saints for some desired good.

What to see in Oaxaca: 

* the Museo de las Culturas, one of Mexico’s best regional museums

* Museo Rufino Tamayo, including collections of pre-Columbian art once owned by the artist

* Monte Albán, one of the country’s most spectacular archeological sites

* the murals in Palacio de Gobierno

* Central de Abastos, a huge flea market on the outskirts of town

* Mercado Benito Juárez – a little touristy, but a great place to grab lunch and pick up some souvenirs

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M.C. Escher Is Now a Movie

I became a fan of M.C. Escher, the Dutch artist, the moment I saw this print. His pictures seemed designed to draw me in and hold me in a way that was enticing but also disturbing. They are like some of Dali’s landscapes, but more puzzles than dreams.

In any case, there’s now a movie about him. Dutch filmmaker Robin Lutz has just released M.C. Escher: Journey to Infinity. According to a review on the Zeitgeist Films website, it provides an “entertaining, eye-opening portrait” of the artist “through his own words and images; diary musings, excerpts from lectures, correspondence and more.”

You can check it out here.

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A pied-à-terre (pee-YAY-duh-tair) – French for “foot on the ground” – is a small apartment or house kept for occasional use. As I used it in today’s travel brief: “I was so enchanted by [Oaxaca] that I nearly bought a small house in the center of the city to use as a pied-à-terre. I didn’t. Oh well.”

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Re the P.S. in the June 1 issue about Bob Dylan: 

“After reading so many insightful comments from you about art over the years, I’m surprised that your column linked to this… column about Bob Dylan being the greatest artist of all time.

“I’m a huge fan of both Dylan’s acoustic and electric work. Even as his already thin voice has worsened over the last couple decades, he has continued to turn out top-notch compositions and recordings with a superb cast of musicians. (‘Tempest’ is particularly strong.)

“But greatest artist of all time?” – AG

My answer: 

Okay… this should be embarrassing, but I don’t embarrass much anymore. First… Dylan is not even in my top 1,000 list. But I loved the teaser for the article. It made me want to read it. And so I put in the link as a PS, with the intention of reading it later.

But then I forgot! And I still haven’t read it! But I will…

Re the June 6 issue: 

“I love your newsletter. I always read it and sometimes print it off to read again more carefully later…. This was a good one, too.” – TD

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New (to me, at least) comedian: Andrew Schulz. 

He’s funny. He has a unique style. And he seems to be particularly good when he’s adlibbing with the audience.

Here he is talking to a woman about animal rights…

And here he is talking to an ex-con…

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