The Economics of Illegal Immigration

Since Trump first promised to build a wall, immigration into the US via our southern border has become a costly and amazingly stupid political slugfest.

First, there were Trump’s “kids in cages.”

After Biden took over, it was “even more kids in cages.”

Then it was Biden’s overnight deliveries of hundreds of thousands of undocumented aliens to towns and cities (especially Republican-run cities) all over the country.

Then it was border-state governors shipping tens of thousands of immigrants to Martha’s Vineyard and other “sanctuary” cities.

Then it was the good people of the Vineyard quickly rounding up and incarcerating the immigrants.

Then it was the mayors of “sanctuary” cities publicly complaining about the cost of taking care of the sanctuary seekers flooding into their jurisdictions.

And now we have the Biden administration, apparently in response to complaints from

Democrat mayors, claiming to have drastically slowed the inflow by reinstating some of the programs initiated under Trump.

If this has worked – if there has been a significant drop in the number of illegal immigrants coming into the US – it hasn’t yet shown up in the published data.

According to figures compiled at Syracuse University, about 670,000 immigrants were let into the US in the first six months of this year. If the Biden administration has indeed slowed the inflow, we will be able to measure that by looking at year-end numbers. (How much less than 1.3 million undocumented aliens had been let in.)

NYC’s Mayor Adams isn’t happy. About 67,000 (10%) of the 670,000 undocumented aliens that came into the country in the first six months of 2023 ended up in his city. Its population, at 8.2 million, is only about 2.5% of America’s total population. And Adams doesn’t think it’s fair for them to have to take 10% of the burden.

About 90,000 migrants have settled in NYC since 2022, according to the Mayor’s Office, with 57,200 of them living in about 200 shelters. So, Adams is asking for help. Specifically, he’s asked for $300 million from FEMA to help cover the full cost of the crisis, which is projected to be $4.2 billion.

$4.2 billion? That sounds like a lot. But is it really? For a city with 8.2 million inhabitants, half of whom are taxpayers?

Let’s see: $4.2 billion divided by about 60,000 is about $70,000 per immigrant. And $4.2 billion divided by 4.1 million is about $1,100 per taxpayer. Did I do that right? Only $1,100 per taxpayer? What is Adams complaining about?

In any case, the whole mess is a good thing from Mexico’s perspective. Dollars sent to Mexican citizens from Mexicans living in the US have been an important part of Mexico’s GDP for a long time. And thanks to the two years of easy entry on the border, revenues from Mexicans in the US to friends and family members in Mexico increased from $33.5 billion in 2018 to $60 billion in 2023. Anyone want to call immigration a new industry? Click here.

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Cover Your Face and Shut Your Mouth 

Tuesday, Aug. 15, was two years since the US withdrew from Afghanistan. Not surprisingly, despite initial promises to respect women’s rights under Sharia law, the Taliban has imposed all sorts of new restrictions on Afghan girls and women. Click here.

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JH Gives Me the Inside Scoop of Self-Storage

After reading my post in the Aug. 15 issue, my friend Jon Herring sent this in. Good, useful information for anyone who, like me, is looking at the potential of self-storage as an option for growing assets and increasing income.

Self-Storage as an Investment

By Jon Herring

My initial interest in self-storage stemmed from conversations with a longtime family friend who owns facilities in Georgia. He described it as the ultimate semi-passive real estate investment. Much lower maintenance compared to traditional rentals. And lower complexity on the operations and human resources side.

In recent years, I have been following a guy named Nick Huber. He started with the purchase of one or two existing self-storage facilities, where he would go in and:

* Do a cosmetic facelift on everything.

* Perform any deferred maintenance.

* Add automation wherever possible to reduce human resource requirements, improve renter experience, and increase security.

* Implement the latest technology for accounting, billing, communications, and security systems and procedures.

* Outsource rote, repetitive computer tasks to virtual assistants in the Philippines to reduce labor costs.

* Roll up any operational and management roles that were not absolutely required by a person at the location to a central operations group, so that multiple facilities could be managed by one team.

* Raise rents, especially in facilities with 100% occupancy. He would raise rents until enough tenants moved out to reach a market equilibrium of about 90% occupancy. (The basic idea is that 100% occupancy means you are not charging enough.)

* Add buildings/ additional units on properties where the real estate footprint permitted expansion and add outdoor storage for boats and RVs where permissible.

These improvements led to revenue increases, greater operational efficiency, lower overhead, and increased profitability. Which in turn led to increased valuations. (A rising real estate market helped.) Then after a few years, he would refinance at the higher valuation, take out his original investment, reinvest in another property, and repeat. And now he takes on limited partners in his deals, so he’s expanding that way as well.

Self-storage flew under the radar for a long time because it’s not a sexy business. It doesn’t have the “cool factor” of vacation rentals or rehab-and-rent real estate, for example. However, it is a GREAT business. It can be very profitable, with reliable revenues, high occupancy, low complexity, and low maintenance.

But here’s the thing… the secret is out.

There are a LOT more investors getting into the market. They are building new and hitting up every aging existing property with offers, driving up valuations.

But there is a niche with significant demand that I believe is more overlooked: contractor garages.

I’m sure you’re familiar with these facilities. The units are larger than self-storage, but smaller than an industrial warehouse. The space is about 1,500 square feet per unit, with a main door, large overhead garage door, half bathroom, and sometimes a small office.

These spaces are rented by builders, plumbers, electricians, artists, e-commerce companies, car collectors, etc.

From what I understand, this asset class has five times the demand of self-storage and less competition from investors and operators.

You mentioned that you wanted to learn more about this business, so I wanted to pass this along. I hope it’s helpful.

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Art, History, and Race

If you saw the movie Oppenheimer (reviewed by me in the Aug. 4 issue), you probably noticed that there was just the smallest sprinkling of people of color in the cast. That generated a fair amount of criticism from critics and Hollywood progressives that have been promoting the idea that casting directors should be following a quota system in their hiring. A quota that roughly equates with the percentage of the general population that a particular minority group represents. In the US, that’s about 14% African American, 19% Hispanic, 7% Asian, and maybe 10% Irish and 2% Jewish.

“Let’s start with the painfully obvious,” Dan Gardner says in his essay titled Art, History, and Race. “America in the 1940s and 1950s was a far less diverse, tolerant, open society…. For us today, it’s a monotonous ocean of white men. But that was elite America in that era.”

Read the entire essay here.

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Cops Get Education on Constitutional Law 

This is a new genre of video that is popping up here and there on social media. Citizens challenging police officers that are bullying citizens just because they think they can.

I like this one in particular because the guy doing the challenging is big and intimidating, and because he clearly knows what he’s talking about.

Click here.

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Quick Bites: New COVID Variant, RFK Jr.’s Latest Conspiracy Theory, Social Experiment, Filthiest US Cities, and Magic Mushrooms 

  1. What You Should Know About the New Dominant COVID Variant. Click here.
  2. If You Think RFK Jr. Is Nuts (and You May Be Right)… you won’t believe what he’s saying now. Click here.
  3. “I’m hungry. Can you help me?” A social experiment outside a supermarket. Click here.
  4. The Dirtiest Cities in America – based on citizen complaints. Click here.
  5. In case you missed it: Janet Yellen’s Recent “Trip” in China. Click here.
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From JF re The Pledge:

“Without giving away any personal details, would you be willing to post one of your daily task lists? I’m re-reading The Pledge (which is such an amazing book) and I’m really trying to implement the strategies into my life. I know your daily tasks should stem from your weekly objectives (which stem from your monthly and yearly goals). While everyone has different goals, I think it would be incredible to see a real task list from someone like you who has achieved so much in life! Anyway, thank you for all the wonderful books and essays you write!”

My Response: I would, but I honestly don’t think it would help you. You are just starting out. And I have already achieved most of my long-term goals. So, my current daily task lists are completely different from what yours should be. I can tell from your email that you have learned a lot from The Pledge. You know exactly how to create – and act on – your personal “master plan” for success. Just keep doing what you’re already doing. And please keep me up on your progress!

By the way… for readers of this blog who do not already have a copy of The Pledge, you can order one directly from us. List price is $24.95, but for you, it’s $15 (including free shipping).

To order your copy…

* Send a check for $15.

* Make the check payable to Cap & Bells Press, LLC. (No cash, please.)

* Include your name and mailing address and mail it to:

Cap & Bells Press

Attn: GKoo

290 SE 2nd Ave.

Delray Beach, FL 33444

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