On Saturday, We Hosted a Wedding at Paradise Palms… 

It was for CF, a nephew, and his bride. There were about 150 people in attendance. It was held in a section of the gardens designed to be a venue for outdoor events like this.

This was the second wedding held at Paradise Palms. The first one was five years ago for Number Two Son and his bride. Their wedding was a great success. But there was more pressure on us to see CF’s succeed because it was a trial run for the kind of weddings we hope to have there.

There were all sorts of things that could have gone wrong. And some of them did. But we were prepared for most of them, and so were able to fix the problems before any of the guests even noticed them. We were also able to observe the dynamics of the wedding plan, the subcontractors, and the guests, which was invaluable in making adjustments here and there to ensure better performance in the future.

We’ve been told by several of South Florida’s top wedding planners that we should be able to book as many weddings as we want at a charge of $10,000 a day. That was a nice thought when I first heard it. Now it seems like a genuine possibility.

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Five Quick Bits From “YouTube Shorts”

Warren Buffett on Gold 

Years ago, when gold was trading in the $400s, I bought a fair amount. Enough to get my family through a complete economic collapse. I don’t regret that. But I can’t refute what Warren Buffett, arguably the best individual investor of all time, says about investing in it. Click here.

Warren Buffett on Cryptos 

This is not the final word. Warren Buffett is hardly an expert on cryptocurrencies. But in this video clip, he explains, very lucidly, the problem with Bitcoin (and similar cryptos) as investments. Click here.

Joe Rogan and Ben Shapiro on the Vaccine Mandates 

I thought this conversation between Ben Shapiro and Joe Rogan was interesting because it is about something more important than the usually discussed scientific and health management issues. Click here.

The “Trans-racialism” Argument 

Leaders of the Woke Revolution say that gender is not binary. It’s a spectrum. That’s nonsense, of course. Just as silly is the idea that race is binary. This man makes the point well. Click here.

Why Artificial Intelligence Should Not Be Humanized 

AI is taking over fast. It’s inevitable, and it will do a lot of good. But this piece of advice to not “put a face on it” makes a lot of sense. Click here.

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The COVID Response. What We Got Wrong.

Part X: Black Africa’s Great Numbers

On Friday,  I said I’d write about something that has puzzled me since I began tracking the COVID case and mortality data in the middle of 2020. If you believed what the WHO and the CDC were recommending back then, you would have expected to see that the widespread lockdowns, mask mandates, and other draconian measures resulted in lower case fatality rates. But within six months of the WHO alerting the world to the threat of COVID-19 in January of 2020, there were already so many nonsensical announcements coming from both the WHO and the CDC that I began to doubt everything that was said.

I was looking at the differences between places where the restrictions were extensive and those where they were minimal – both here in the US and in other countries. And what I saw for most of 2020 seemed to validate the positions of the WHO and the CDC. The states and countries that had put stricter preventative measures in place had better case fatality rates.

As time passed, the differences became negligible. Thus, for example, the mortality rates for Florida, which was famously relaxed on the shutdown, ended up statistically even with (in some cases lower than) states like California, New Jersey, and New York. Likewise with countries. (China, which I wrote about on Friday, was used by some advocates as a shining example of the effectiveness of stringent lockdowns.)

Meanwhile, I couldn’t help but notice that many of the countries with the lowest COVID mortality rates were countries that, in my mind, should have had the highest.

I’m talking about poor, undeveloped, third-world countries that typically get the worst of any sort of natural disaster. Countries with widespread poverty, terrible sanitation, and 18th century health infrastructure. I’m talking, specifically, about the countries of “Black” Africa.

Why were their mortality rates so low?

Until recently, I couldn’t find a cogent explanation for it. I couldn’t even find the question being asked. (Which was likely because, despite pretenses to the contrary, the American media is not the least bit interested in what happens in Black Africa.)

But about a week ago – to settle some argument I was having with a friend – I did a Google search to determine the average age of people in the US as compared to Japan. The median age of Americans is 38. And the median age of the Japanese is 47. Nearly 10 years older!

Then I noticed something remarkable. With an average age of 47, Japan is near the top of the 10 oldest populations in the world. And all of the ten “youngest countries” in the world, with an average age of 18 or less, are in Black Africa!

And then I thought…

Age – i.e., old age – is probably the single most important factor in determining the case fatality rate for COVID. We know that children have virtually no chance of dying from COVID. That’s pretty much true of people in their teens and 20s, too. People in their 30s and 40s have a small but possible chance, especially if they have “comorbidity issues.” But the vast majority of COVID-caused deaths occur in people in their 70s, 80s, and 90s. So surely, the fact that the average age of Black Africans is about half that of Americans must be one reason they have had such low mortality rates.

So then I thought about the other leading factors in COVID mortality. What about obesity?

Obesity is generally listed as the second greatest risk factor in COVID mortality. I checked – and, yes, obesity is almost nonexistent in Black African countries.

Two for two.

And what’s the next most common factor in COVID mortality?

It’s diabetes. And guess what? The percentage of Black Africans that suffer from diabetes is less than half that of the US!

So, there I had it. Mystery solved!

The reason the poorest, least developed countries in the world have the best records in terms of defeating COVID-19 is because their people are the youngest, slimmest, and least likely to have diabetes.

By the way… none of this is brand-new information. The CDC had access to it at the beginning of the pandemic. Had they used it to institute a sensible policy for protecting Americans from COVID-19, it would have looked like what I suggested two years ago:

Protect the old, the obese, and those with comorbidities (especially diabetes) with masks and social distancing. And reduce the threat to the rest of the population by keeping schools and businesses open to achieve herd immunity as soon as possible.

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Picasso’s War: How Modern Art Came to America 

By Hugh Eakin

480 pages

1st edition published July 12, 2022

Picasso’s War was recommended to me by DL, a fellow DM publisher and art collector that I’ve mentioned here several times.

Prior to this one, the only book I can remember reading about the history of modern art is The Painted Word by Tom Wolfe. He presented a wonderfully slanted and brilliant hypothesis about how a small group of European artists in the first two decades of the 20th century invented modern art by stripping away the techniques and technicalities that made traditional art subject to rational analysis.

Picasso’s War has a different perspective. It is the biography of a handful of American men and women who, through legal cleverness and promotional genius, practically forced the American art market to accept Fauvist and Cubist pieces by the likes of Jean Derain and Pablo Picasso – eventually creating the world’s largest and most vibrant market for modern art.

What I Liked About It 

* It tells an amazing story, one I had never heard before.

* It is nicely and neatly written. Hugh Eakin writes with authority, the authority you’d expect from the editor of Foreign Affairs. But his prose is clean and mean, which makes for fast, exciting reading.

* The book is filled with fascinating details linking the great artists of this period to the great novelists, poets, and critics.

Critical Reception 

* “[Eakin] has mastered this material, read a mountain of sources, and synthesized them skillfully…. His achievement is keeping the complex plotline moving, while offering sharp insights and astute judgments.” (New York Times Book Review)

* “Eakin spins neglected yarns of art history into pure gold in this clear, sensitive, and deftly written narrative.” (Vanity Fair)

* “Admirable and enjoyable…. The story in Picasso’s War is well told, with an impressive level of biographical detail.” (Louis Menand, The New Yorker)

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I Fell in Love with This Tune 

I Thought It Was New – I Was Mistaken 

I’m accustomed to the digital media sites that I frequent feeding me news that appeals to my social interests and political prejudices. Likewise, with book recommendations from Amazon and movie recommendations from Netflix. Figuring out my preferences based on past consumption doesn’t seem all that difficult to do. But my taste in music is very diverse and esoteric. So I was surprised when YouTube directed me to a song that I’d never heard before, but liked very much.

The song was featured in one of those bits where a guitarist stands somewhere in public and asks passersby if they want to sing. In this particular one, set in a subway station, the passerby looked like he might have been a bookkeeper or high school science teacher.

Watch it here.

The song he sang hooked me. The melody is beautiful in a haunting, rock-opera-ish sort of way. The structure is complex, as if a serious composer were behind it. But the lyrics are juvenile – almost purposefully juvenile.

I couldn’t quite figure it out. I played it once or twice more that day, and then, as happens with algorithms, versions of the song began following me around YouTube. Each version was different than the previous one, but they all held me.

Here, for example, is an opera singer taking a shot at it.

And here is a very soulful version by some guy competing in a televised singing contest.

And here’s a guy – who is probably well-known by now – doing an amazing version on American Idol. (Start at minute 3.0.)

I finally tracked down the original. The song – Creep – was the 1992 debut single by the English rock band Radiohead. (The band’s frontman, Thom Yorke, wrote the lyrics.) Click here to watch them perform it.

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Let’s Talk About Guns and Politics and Zombies 

SC and I were talking about guns. He wanted me to accompany him to a shooting range here in Delray Beach so I could try my hand at various handguns and rifles.

I gave him my spiel…

Many years ago, I saw a list of all the bad things that can happen when people have guns. At the top was having your gun stolen from your bedside table while you slept. That was followed by all sorts of missteps and tragedies – from shooting your foot off to the accidental death of your child.

“With my bad luck and general clumsiness,” I said, “I don’t like the prospects.”

“Take a class in gun safety,” SC told me.

“I don’t think so,” I said. “And anyway, as I understand it, the second amendment was not designed to keep me safe from robberies, but from government tyranny.”

“Biden used that logic to argue for gun control,” SC said. (I knew what he meant. Biden had recently made fun of second amendment defenders, saying something like, “For those ‘brave’ right-wing Americans who say that it’s all about keeping America independent and safe, if you want to fight against the country, you need an F-15. You need something more than a gun.”)

“Well,” I said, “If I was ever going to buy a gun, it wouldn’t be a handgun or a semiautomatic. I want a full-on machine gun.”

He looked surprised. “Why is that?”

“Because the only time I can imagine needing one would be if my house was being attacked by zombies.”

He smiled.

“I’m serious,” I said. “You know how the zombies are these days. They’re not like the old ones, lurching at you, clumsily, one at a time. Today, they move quicker and they come in droves. There’s no way you can protect yourself without a military grade automatic weapon.”

He smiled again.

Later that day, he sent me this link to a great article about how Hollywood has expanded our knowledge of how to kill zombies.

Click here to prepare yourself for the zombie apocalypse!

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Day of the Dead 

Written and directed by George A. Romero

Released in theaters July 3, 1985

Streaming Sept. 17, 2013

Currently available from various streaming services, including Netflix and Amazon Prime

 

The Plot 

Trapped in a missile silo, a small team of scientists, civilians, and trigger-happy soldiers battle desperately to ensure the survival of the human race. But tension inside the base is reaching the breaking point, and the zombies are gathering outside…

What I Didn’t Like About It 

All of the drama between the main characters. It felt like Romero was trying to elevate the movie into something more than what it was. A bit of that would have been fine. But it constituted nearly half of the run time, thus taking away from…

What I Liked 

The unbelievably great special effects. I’m talking about what one looks for in zombie movies. Gushing blood, the tearing of flesh, headless bodies moving, bodiless heads talking… even rib cages falling out of torsos. And this is not digital manipulation. This is real old-fashioned special effects!

 

Critical Reception 

* “[The Day of the Dead] affords Mr. Romero the opportunity for intermittent philosophy and satire, without compromising his reputation as the grisliest guy around.” (Janet Maslin, New York Times)

* “It’s an intelligent, well-written, excellently played movie, with top-flight gore/horror effects, perverse humour, and a provocatively bleak vision.” (Kim Newman, Empire Magazine)

* “The third of writer/director George A. Romero’s ‘Living Dead’ trilogy benefits from a far larger budget than its predecessors, but suffers from a story as malnourished as the zombies that are chewing it up.” (Almar Hafidason, BBC)

You can watch the original trailer here.

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The COVID Response. What We Got Wrong.

Part IX: China’s Bogus Claims

In my last two blog posts, I wrote about how the WHO and the CDC rigged the records to exaggerate the number of COVID hospitalizations and deaths by 70% to 90% – and how the undercounting of cases, especially in the first 12 to 18 months, meant that the case fatality rate was probably less than 1%. Perhaps even in the same range as the common flu.

It was obvious to me back then that the case fatality rates were bogus. But an even more ridiculous falsehood that was promoted by the mainstream media (and touted by many politicians) was China’s COVID death count. Until very recently, when the total in the USA was 1.2 million, China’s reported death count was 5,000!

Imagine that. A country of 1.4 billion people – four times more than the US – having only 5,000 COVID deaths. It was absurd. Even if you believed the preposterous notion that lockdowns reduced COVID death counts, how you possibly believe that they could reduce them by 99.9999%?!

And yet, millions of people, including most of my educated friends, believed it. (Some still do.)

In the past month or so, China has been reporting a surge in COVID that has brought their case count to more than 2 million. But they are still telling the US media (and they are still buying it) that their total deaths so far have only been 5,273!

Click here for a report on the scope of this surge in cases, as well as the attempt to cover up the associated deaths.

And just so none of my readers will waste their time “informing” me that there are a few estimates that the actual count of COVID-caused deaths in China is about 60,000, that number is statistically equal to 5,273 when you measure it against the Chinese population.

There will be people that read this that believed the old reports from China and still believe China’s official explanation of their recent surge in cases. The CCP is saying that the surge was the result of relaxing their zero-tolerance lockdown strategy in response to widespread protests. And that almost all of those that got sick were unvaccinated.

Both statements are obviously false. If I didn’t have to go to dinner now, I’d take the time to explain why. Instead, I’m going to ask anyone who disagrees to go back and re-read the bits I wrote on Dec. 6 (the “pandemic of the unvaccinated”) and Dec. 9 (the lockdown idiocy).

In the next installment of this series, I’m going to explain an anomaly that puzzled me for a long time: Why it is that some poor, poorly regulated, and generally unhealthy countries, including most African countries, have a much lower COVID death count than the US, Europe, and other advanced countries.

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